社会过程的算法模型

V. Shalack
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引用次数: 0

摘要

社会科学的发展需要依靠精确的方法。自然科学所采用的法理学解释模式不适用于社会科学。社会的算法模型可能是解决现有问题的一个有希望的解决方案。在其最一般的形式中,算法是一种普遍理解的处方,用于执行什么操作以及以什么顺序实现期望的结果。任何算法都可以表示为一组形式为“如果a,做D得到P”的规则。人们是这种规则的承担者,这些规则适用于他们活动的不同领域。这些规则可能会根据个人和集体的经验而改变。有一门特殊的数学学科专门研究这些规则的演化规律。这门学科被称为遗传(进化)编程。与具有威胁性的名称相反,算法模型并不意味着剥夺一个人的自由选择权,但它需要这种权利作为社会算法进化的必要条件。这些算法使我们能够对许多众所周知的社会现象给出非因果的、但类似法律的解释,并有效地模拟未来,这在今天是至关重要的。回顾社会算法的发展历程,我们可以发现,当前人类社会的全球性危机与社会算法的发展趋近于奇点有关。这是因为不需要人类直接参与社会算法的实施,这反映在就业领域的根本变化和对科学进一步发展的需求减少上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Algorithmic model of social processes
The development of the social sciences needs to rely on precise methods. The nomological model of explanation adopted in the natural sciences is ill-suited for the social sciences. An algorithmic model of society can be a promising solution to existing problems. In its most general form, an algorithm is a generally understood prescription for what actions to perform and in what order to achieve the desired result. Any algorithm can be represented as a set of rules of the form «If A, do D to get P». People are the bearers of this kind of rules that apply in different areas of their activities. The rules are subject to change based on personal and collective experience. There is a special mathematical discipline that studies the laws of evolution of such rules. This discipline is called genetic (evolutionary) programming. Contrary to the threatening name, the algorithmic model does not imply the deprivation of a person’s right to free choice, but it needs this right as a necessary condition for the evolution of social algorithms. These algorithms allow us to give a non-causal, but law-like explanation of many well-known social phenomena, as well as to effectively model the future, which is critically important today. A retrospective look at the evolution of social algorithms shows that the current global crisis of human society is associated with the approach to the point of singularity in their evolution. This is due to the fact that there is no need for direct human participation in the implementation of social algorithms, which is reflected in a fundamental change in the sphere of employment and less need for further development of the sciences.
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