信贷、货币和汇率渠道在东非共同体五国货币传导机制中的作用

Cuthberth Mlosa, Lukman Hakim, S. Rahayu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

为了在货币联盟下成功地实施货币政策,理解传导渠道在货币传导机制中的作用是非常重要的。这些渠道的表现受到特定国家普遍存在的经济结构的影响;因此,传导机制的不同会导致对实体经济产出的不同行为。本文旨在考察三个传导渠道(信贷、货币供给和汇率)在东亚共同体国家货币传导机制中的作用,这与这些国家签署货币联盟议定书的地区有关。本文采用面板数据方法,分别采用5个国家和22年的截面数据和时间序列数据。研究结果表明,货币供给渠道对实体经济具有积极而显著的影响,因此在EAC国家的货币政策传导中发挥了重要作用。剩余渠道(信贷和汇率)在传导机制中并不重要,因此在向东亚共同体国家传导货币政策时可能不重要。关键词:货币传导机制;信贷渠道;货币供给渠道;汇率渠道;东非共同体(EAC)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Role of Credit, Money, and Exchange Rate Channels on Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Five East Africa Community (EAC) Countries
In order to conduct successful monetary policy under monetary union it is important to understand the role of transmission channels in the monetary transmission mechanism. The performance of these channels is influenced by the economic structure prevailing in specific country; therefore differences in transmission mechanisms can generate different behavior in output to the real economy. This paper aim to examine the role of three transmission channels (credit, money supply and exchange rate) on monetary transmission mechanism in EAC countries, this is relevant to the region as these countries signed the protocol to form monetary union. The paper employ panel data approach with the cross section and time series data of five countries and twenty two year’s respectively. The findings reveal that money supply channel has positive and significant effect to the real economy hence it play important role in transmission of monetary policy in EAC countries. Remain channels (credit and exchange rate are not significant in transmission mechanism thus may not be important in transmission monetary policy to EAC countries. Key words— Monetary Transmission Mechanism; Credit channel; Money supply channel; Exchange rate channel; East Africa Community (EAC).
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