全球热带水果的贸易竞争力

A. Gibba
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引用次数: 0

摘要

农产品贸易在世界经济增长和发展中发挥着重要作用。从农业产业中汲取力量,这些重要作用包括对优质粮食生产、创造就业、外汇收入和工业投入作出贡献。本文的目的是考察全球热带水果的贸易竞争力和显性比较优势,并利用Kaplan-Meier生存函数和马尔可夫转移概率矩阵来衡量Balassa指数的稳定性和持续时间。结果显示,在评估期间,西班牙、厄瓜多尔和美国是所检查的热带水果的主要出口国,总共出口了所有产品的29%。因此,排名前10位的国家占60%,主要是新鲜或干香蕉,包括大蕉,占贸易总量的25%以上,其次是新鲜苹果,占所有时期热带水果贸易总量的18%以上。然而,哥斯达黎加和厄瓜多尔的巴拉萨指数最高。通常,稳定性测试和流动性指数表明,大多数国家的比较优势似乎减弱了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trade Competitiveness In Global Tropical Fruits
Trade in agricultural commodity has significantly played a vital role in world’s economic growth and development. Drawing its strength from the agricultural industry, such important roles include contribution to quality food production, job creation, foreign exchange earnings, and industrial inputs. The objective of the article was to examine trade competitiveness and revealed comparative advantages of global tropical fruits and to measure the stability and duration of Balassa indices by applying Kaplan-Meier survival function and Markov transition probability matrices. Results reveal that Spain, Ecuador, and The United States were the main exporters of the examined tropical fruits in the periods evaluated, together giving 29% of all products exported. The top10 countries, therefore, consisted 60% of concentration, dominated by fresh or dried banana, including plantains, which constitutes more than 25% of trade, followed by fresh apples which represents more 18% of the total tropical fruits trade for all the periods. The Balassa indices, however, were the highest for Costa Rica and Ecuador. Typically, comparative advantages seem to diminish for most of the countries as manifested by the stability tests and mobility indices.
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