石油特定冲击和金融压力之间的动态传输:来自欧元区的证据

Onur Polat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,我们通过实施tpv - var模型来研究石油市场与欧元区金融压力之间的动态传递。我们的数据涵盖2000年9月至2018年12月的月度WTI原油价格、全球石油产量、Kilian指数和欧元区金融压力指标(系统性压力综合指标,CISS)。研究的实证结果证明,tpv - var模型持续且稳健地捕捉了全球石油市场对欧元区金融压力产生的结构性冲击的动态性质。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic Transmissions Between Oil Specific Shocks and Financial Stress: Evidence From the Euro Area
In this study, we investigate dynamic transmissions between oil market and Euro area financial stress by implementing the TVP-VAR model. Our data cover monthly WTI oil price, global oil production, the Kilian Index and a measure for financial stress for the Euro area (Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress, CISS) and range from September 2000 to December 2018. Empirical results of the study verify that, the TVP-VAR model captures dynamic nature of the structural shocks arisen from the global oil market to the Euro area financial stress consistently and robustly.
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