劳动力迁移对派遣国经济影响的估计

L. Chernobay, A. Yessirkepova, Sviatoslav Malibroda
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提供了一个估算劳动力迁移对派遣国经济影响的理论框架。总体移民影响包括两种效应,这两种效应可以分别计算,即离境效应和汇款效应。离开效应会减少自主消费,给经济带来负面影响。汇款效应通过增加可支配收入从而增加国内消费、储蓄和进口而产生积极影响。计算包括乘数效应。劳动力移民对GDP的影响是通过正汇款效应和负离境效应之间的差异来计算的。该分析是针对未充分就业的国家进行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of labor migration impact on the economy of sending country
This paper provides a theoretical framework for estimating the labor migration impact on the economy of sending country. The overall emigration impact includes two effects, which can be calculated separately, i.e., a departure effect and a remittances effect. The departure effect causes a negative impact on the economy by decreasing autonomous consumption. The remittances effect causes a positive impact by increasing disposable income and thus internal consumption and savings and imports. Calculations include the multiplier effect. The labor emigration impact on GDP is calculated as a difference between a positive remittances effect and a negative departure effect. The analysis is conducted for countries that are not at full employment.
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