基于气象数据的电价预测:澳大利亚能源市场研究

Ming Zhao, Yangyang Shu, Shaowu Liu, Guandong Xu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

电价作为每个家庭的基本成本,是电力市场的重要组成部分。电价的调整可以反映出电力供需关系的变化。对于供电企业来说,一个合适的电价最终决定了其利润水平。另一方面,准确的预测有助于把握电力市场的机遇。在本文中,我们的目标是利用数据挖掘技术以更自信的准确性预测电价。我们对新南威尔士州12个月的电价和气候数据进行了实验,取得了很好的预测结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electricity Price Forecast using Meteorology data: A study in Australian Energy Market
Electricity price as a fundamental cost for each family which is an essential segment in the electricity market. The adjustment of electricity price can present the change in electricity supply and demand relationship. For the electricity supply companies, an appropriate defined electricity price can eventually determine the level of profit. On the other hand, an accurate prediction can help to seize opportunities in the electricity market. In this paper, we aim to predict the electricity price with more confident accuracy by leveraging data mining techniques. Our experiment on 12 months of electricity prices as well as climate data in the New South Wales has achieved a promising prediction result.
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