基辅地区年龄人口结构:实验空间分型

О.В. Ващенко
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摘要

乌克兰经济发展的新条件要求更多地关注国家和区域劳动力市场。在一些经济部门,乌克兰已经出现了劳动力资源短缺的新情况。造成这一现象的基础除了经济因素外,还有人口年龄结构的恶化,而人口年龄结构决定了劳动力资源的存在和质量参数。在致力于劳动力资源和劳动力市场问题的现代科学文献中,对人口因素的分析给予了极大的关注。大多数作者都认识到人口年龄结构在特定区域劳动力市场形成中的决定性作用。人口年龄结构是预测地区和国家劳动力资源供给的事实依据。聚类分析可以在基辅地区区分人口年龄结构的显著空间差异。基辅地区行政单位人口年龄结构的差异使我们能够区分两种主要年龄组比例有显著差异的类型。第一种类型主要分布在基辅地区的外围,其特点是老年人口比例高,儿童和工作年龄人口比例低。第二类是在基辅周围形成的,人口结构相对年轻,儿童(在整个基辅地区的背景下)和工作年龄人口的比例很高。第二类行政单位的一部分可归为第一类和第二类组成部分之间的过渡群。空间分析显示,人口年龄结构恶化呈现离心式、向心式、周边式趋势。恶化的主要地理媒介是从基辅到该区域的外围。在该地区的边缘地区,领取养老金者的比例是儿童的两倍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
AGE POPULATION STRUCTURE OF THE KYIV AREA: EXPERIMENTAL SPACE TYPIZATION
New conditions for the development of Ukraine’s economy require increased attention to national and regional labor markets. Already, in some sectors of the economy there are new facts for Ukraine of shortages of labor resources. The basis of this phenomenon, besides economic factors, is the deterioration of the age structure of the population, which determines the presence and qualitative parameters of labor resources by its structure. In modern scientific literature devoted to issues of labor resources and labor markets, a great deal of attention is paid to the analysis of demographic factors. Most authors recognize the decisive role of the age structure of the population in the formation of specific regional labor markets. The age structure of the population serves as the factual basis for forecasting the provision of labor resources of the region and the country. Cluster analysis allowed distinguishing in the Kyiv region a significant spatial differentiation of the age structure of the population. The differentiation of the age structure of the population of the administrative units of the Kyiv region allowed us to distinguish between two types that differ significantly in the ratio of the main age groups. The first type, which predominantly forms the periphery of the Kyiv region, is characterized by a high percentage of the population of the older age group, low share of children and working age population. The second type was formed around Kiev and has a relatively young population structure, with a high proportion of children (on the background of the Kiev region as a whole) and people of working age. Part of administrative units of the second type can be attributed to the transition group between the components of the first and second types. Spatial analysis shows centrifugal, centripetal, peripheral trends in the deteriorated age structure of the population. The main geographic vector of deterioration is observed from Kyiv to the periphery of the region. On the periphery of the region there is a two-fold excess of the share of pensioners over children.
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