信贷风险对孟加拉选定商业银行盈利能力的影响

Md. Monzur Morshed Bhuiya, Md. Mahabub Miah, Tasnim Uddin Chowdhury
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是找出信贷风险对孟加拉国选定商业银行盈利能力的影响。为了进行这项研究,我们从61家上市商业银行中选择了10家商业银行。选定的银行分为四类。其中国有银行3家,民营非伊斯兰银行3家,民营伊斯兰银行3家,专业商业银行1家。为了显示信用风险对盈利能力的影响,我们选择了10个变量,这些变量使用2009年至2018年收集的数据进行计算。在这十个变量中,有两个变量作为因变量,分别是净资产收益率(ROE)和资产收益率(ROA),自变量中有七个银行特定变量和一个宏观经济变量。为了得到结果,我们采用多元回归模型,分别展示了自变量对ROE和ROA的影响。除此之外,还试图找出巴塞尔协议III对盈利能力的影响。为了显示效果,我们使用了巴塞尔协议III之前的三年数据和巴塞尔协议III之后的三年数据,并显示了个体对ROE和ROA的影响。回归结果表明,不良贷款率(NPLR)、贷款损失拨备率(LLPR)和宏观经济变量GDP对盈利能力比率ROE具有显著的负向影响。研究结果还表明,不良贷款率(NPLR)、贷款与预收存款比(LATD)对盈利能力比率(ROA)有显著影响。对巴塞尔协议III效应的回归结果表明,不良贷款对净资产收益率(ROE)有显著的负向影响,但这种影响小于巴塞尔协议III之前的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Credit Risk on the Profitability of Selected Commercial Banks of Bangladesh
The objective of the study is to find out the impact of credit risk on the profitability of selected commercial banks of Bangladesh. To perform this study, we have selected 10 commercial banks from 61 scheduled commercial banks. The selected banks consist of four categories. Among them, three are state owned banks, three are private owned non Islamic banks, three are private owned Islamic banks and one is specialized commercial bank. To show the impact of credit risk on profitability, we have selected ten variables which are calculated using data collected from 2009 to 2018. Among the ten variables, two variables have been used as dependent variables which include Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA), and among the independent variables include seven bank specific variables and one macroeconomic variable. To find out the result, multiple-regression model has been used and shown the effects of independent variables on ROE & ROA separately. Besides this, an attempt has been made to find out the effect of Basel III on profitability. To show the effect, we have used three years data before Basel III and three years data after Basel III and showed the individual effect on ROE and ROA. The regression result shows that non-performing loan ratio (NPLR), Loan Loss Provision Ratio (LLPR) and macroeconomic variable GDP has a significant negative impact on profitability ratio ROE. The result also shows that Non-performing loan ratio (NPLR), Loan and advance to total deposits ratio (LATD) have a significant impact on profitability ratio Return on Assets(ROA). The regression result for Basel III effect represented that Nonperforming loan has a significant negative impact on Return on Equity (ROE) but this impact is less than that of before Basel III.
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