避免道路网络中严重交通事故热点的车辆路径算法(以马萨诸塞州斯普林菲尔德市为例)

A. Gershtein, Andrey Terekhov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在[1]中发现了具有统计学意义的严重交通事故(TA)聚集(热点)。在本文中,作为[1]的延续,提出了一种简单的路由算法来避免路网上的TA热点(“热点避免”路径)。如果道路网络是由带有边和节点的图表示的,那么通过让边的属性是一个非常大的数字,远远大于给定道路图的最大边长度,就足以将通向TA热点的每条边标记为“不可通过”,并且路由算法(Dijkstra或Bellman-Ford)将自动避开TA热点。计算机模拟在马萨诸塞州斯普林菲尔德进行。结果表明,对于相同的起始点和终点,在Springfield内部,对于较短的原始(不考虑TA热点)路由,其平均比值(route avoiding route length/Original route length)较大,而对于最大原始路由长度,其平均比值逐渐放缓至1.04。路由长度比率显示了避开TA热点所需的额外路由长度,但没有说明新路由的安全性。为了估计安全收益,引入了新的相对风险比(RRR=(避开热点的沿线TAs /原路线TAs))。在Springfield,相对较短(小于4公里)的原始路线比原始路线更危险(在“热点规避”路线上有更多的TAs),但对于相对较长的(> 4公里)原始路线,平均RRR变小16%,而修改后的路径平均变长8%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Routing Algorithm for Vehicles that Avoids Severe Traffic Accident Hotspots on the Road Network (Using the City of Springfield, Massachusetts as a Case Study)
In [1] statistically significant clusters (hotspots) of severe Traffic Accidents (TA) are found. In this article, as a continuation of [1], a simple routing algorithm to avoid TA hotspots on a road network has been proposed («hotspot avoidance» path). If the road network is represented by a graph with edges and nodes, it is enough to mark every edge which lead to the TA hotspot as «not passable» by letting a attribute of the edge be a very large digit, much greater than max edge length for a given road graph — and the routing algorithm (Dijkstra or Bellman-Ford) will avoid the TA hotspot automatically. Computer simulation was performed for Springfield, MA. It is shown that for the same initial and end points of the route, an average ratio (Route avoiding TA length/Original route length) is bigger for shorter original (without taking into account TA hotspots) routes and gradually slows down to 1.04 for max original route length inside Springfield. Route length ratios show extra route length needed to avoid TA hotspots, but say nothing about new route safety. To estimate safety gain, a new Relative Risk Ratio RRR= (TAs along route which avoids TA hotspots/TAs along original route) was introduced. It is shown for Springfield that relatively short (less than 4 km) original routes are more dangerous (have more TAs along the «hotspot avoidance» route) than original ones, but for relatively long (> 4 km) original routes average RRR gets smaller by 16 % while modified path gets longer by 8 % in average.
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