尼日利亚道路交通事故发生和严重程度的地理分析和制图

E. Dada, A. Hassan, Dada Victoria Tobi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

汽车运输的优点并不能克服它的缺点。其中最重要的是道路交通事故,这是当今世界上严重的死亡原因。这项研究调查并绘制了2013年至2015年间尼日利亚36个州和联邦首都的道路交通事故报告率。从联邦统计局获得的数据使用描述性和推断性统计方法进行分析。编制了条形图、曲线图、点状图和专题图,描绘了尼日利亚道路交通事故发生的空间分布和死亡分类,并采用回归分析预测了尼日利亚道路交通事故的未来情况。结果表明;2013年的事故率最高,为36.9%,造成5,539人死亡。奥贡州2013年的事故发生率最高,为9.7%,拉各斯州2014年为15.4%,奥贡州2015年为6.1%,这可归因于这两个州作为尼日利亚经济门户的战略地位。回归结果显示,道路交通事故案例数与道路交通事故死亡人数呈正相关,回归R值为0.78,R2为0.61。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Geographical Analysis and Mapping of Road Traffic Accident Occurrence and Severity in Nigeria
The advantage of automobile transportation does not overcome its shortcomings. Foremost among these is road traffic accident which is serious cause of death in the whole world today. This study examined and mapped rate of reported cases of road accidents across the 36 States and the federal capital of Nigeria between 2013 and 2015. Data acquired from Federal Bureau of Statistics was analysed using descriptive and inferential statistical methods. Bar charts, graphs, dot map and thematic map were prepared to depict the spatial distribution of the occurrences and fatality classification while regression analysis was used to predict the future situation of road accident in Nigeria. Results showed that; highest rate of accidents 36.9% occurred in the year 2013 with 5,539 deaths. Ogun State recorded highest number of accidents with 9.7% in 2013, Lagos State with 15.4% in 2014 and Ogun State with 6.1% in 2015 which can be attributed to the strategic position of these two States as the gate ways to Nigeria economy. The regression result shows the strong positive relationship between numbers of recorded cases of road accident and death from road traffic accident with regression R value of 0.78 and R2 of 0.61 respectively.
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