汇率传递对越南通货膨胀的影响

Huynh Huynh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主要目的是研究汇率传递(ERPT)对越南国内商品和服务价格的影响在2014年至2019年期间的利率和再融资利率的影响。在应用向量自回归(VAR)模型之前,进行了单位根检验和许多诊断检验。估计结果表明,汇率变动对国内消费价格水平有正向影响,即越南盾贬值幅度的加大会引起国内价格水平的提高,ERPT对国内价格水平的影响程度小于利率和再融资。研究也指出了越南实际情况中存在的许多问题。根据这些分析结果,本研究提出了有助于稳定物价和发展宏观经济的货币政策取向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of exchange rate pass-through on inflation in Vietnam
The main purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) on domestic price of goods and services in Vietnam under the impact of the interest rate and refinancing rate over the period 2014 to 2019. Unit root test and many Diagnostic tests are conducted before applying the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) model. Estimation results indicate that exchange rate changes have a positive impact on domestic consumer price level means that an increase in the depreciation of Vietnam dong could cause an increase in domestic price, the degree of ERPT into domestic price level is smaller than interest rate and refinancing one. The study also indicates many problems existing in the actual situation in Vietnam. From those analysis results, the study has proposed monetary policy orientations to help stabilize prices and develop macroeconomics.
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