气候变化对斯里兰卡水资源和农业的影响:审查和初步脆弱性绘图

N. Eriyagama, V. Smakhtin, L. Chandrapala, K. Fernando
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引用次数: 97

摘要

有充分的证据表明,斯里兰卡的气候已经发生了变化。然而,对国家来说更重要的问题是,斯里兰卡的气候在50年或100年后会是什么样子,以及这个国家准备如何面对这种变化。本报告从观测到的和预计的气候变化、气候变化对水资源和农业的影响、气候变化的缓解和适应以及研究需求等方面审查了斯里兰卡气候变化研究/活动的现状。该研究还制定了试点级别的CC脆弱性指数,随后在地区一级绘制。这些地图表明,努瓦拉埃利耶、巴杜拉、莫尼拉加拉、拉特纳普拉和阿努拉德普拉等典型农业区由于严重依赖初级农业,最容易受到CC的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in Sri Lanka: a review and preliminary vulnerability mapping
There is ample evidence to suggest that Sri Lanka’s climate has already changed. However, the bigger question of national importance is what Sri Lanka’s climate will look like in 50 or 100 years and how prepared the country is to face such changes. This report reviews the status of climate change (CC) research/activities in Sri Lanka in terms of observed and projected climatic changes, their impacts on water resources and agriculture, CC mitigation and adaptation, and research needs. The study also developed a pilot level CC Vulnerability Index, which was subsequently mapped at district level. The maps indicate that typical farming districts such as Nuwara Eliya, Badulla, Moneragala, Ratnapura and Anuradhapura are the most vulnerable to CC due to their heavy reliance on primary agriculture.
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