移民在现代俄罗斯妇女人口行为中的作用

Alisa Kim, E. Mitrofanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究致力于调查现代俄罗斯妇女的移民和人口行为(伙伴关系、婚姻和生育)之间的相互关系。对2229名19至43岁女性的个人传记进行的定量研究表明,在生命历程方法中使用了描述性分析和事件历史分析(Cox回归)。研究结果是在科学文献中描述的解释移民对人口行为影响的假设框架内进行的。俄罗斯女性人口的特点是大多数不流动(超过三分之二的妇女从未经历过移民,至少在43岁之前)。本文讨论了影响移民和非移民生活生涯中人口事件发生风险的各种经济和人口因素。描述移民对婚姻和生殖行为的负面影响的破坏假说部分被证明是错误的:第一次移民对成年妇女第一次生育或第一次伴侣的风险没有影响;在21岁以后的女性中,第一次婚姻的风险受到负面影响。选择和事件相互关系假说可以解释俄罗斯两组移民妇女的人口行为:教育移民和婚姻移民。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Role of Migration in Demographic Behaviour of Modern Russian Women
The study is devoted to the investigation of the interrelations between migration and demographic behavior (partnerships, marriages, and childbearing) of modern Russian women. The quantitative research conducted on 2,229 individual biographies of women between 19 and 43 implies the use of descriptive analysis and Event History Analysis (Cox regression) within the Life-Course Approach. The results of the research are viewed within the framework of the hypotheses explaining the impact of migration on demographic behavior already described in scientific literature. The Russian female population is characterized as mostly immobile (more than two thirds of women never experienced migration, at least before age 43). The paper discusses various economic and demographic factors affecting the risks of occurrence of demographic events in migrant and non-migrant life careers. The disruption hypothesis describing the negative effect of migration on marital and reproductive behavior, is partially disproved: 1st migration exhibits no effect on the risk of 1st childbearing or 1st partnership among adult women; the risk of 1st marriage is negatively affected among women after 21. The selection and the interrelations-of-events hypotheses may explain the demographic behavior of the two suggested groups of migrant women in Russia: educational migrants and marriage migrants.
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