冠状病毒后世界政治经济中的发展中国家

L. Fituni, I. Abramova
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引用次数: 11

摘要

文章分析了新冠肺炎疫情和全球经济下行的外部双重冲击对发展中国家经济和政治环境的影响,并在此基础上探讨了当前和未来世界格局可能发生的变化。本文试图设想欠发达经济体在即将到来的新全球常态中的地位和作用演变的载体和结果。本文在正在进行的全球化、碎片化和主权化进程的背景下对这组国家的发展问题进行了研究。文章从三个关键角度考虑了发展中国家内部和周围发生的转变:a)全球化进程的回顾和前沿性演变;b)疫情和全球经济危机对这些国家经济、社会和政治发展的直接影响;c)可能的“后冠状病毒”发展模式,包括实施负责任的发展理念和应对工业革命的挑战。或需要采取的政治和经济行动,即:医疗和流行病后果本身;可持续发展的战略前景过度缩小;过去二十年来由于进行的分析而存在的世界秩序的有利范例和国际社会成员之间的互利关系的崩溃,作者得出的结论是,试图通过简单地将构成国家经济恢复到危机前的状态(即导致危机和衰退的状态)来恢复世界经济将是错误的。鉴于目前的现实,范式转变正成为非西方国家甚至欠发达国家的迫切需要。更明智的做法是围绕工业革命和负责任发展的核心支柱开始建立复苏增长©2020全球研究在线版权所有
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Developing Countries in the Political Economy of the Post-Coronavirus World
The article provides an analysis of the fallout of the external twin-shock caused by the coronavirus pandemic and a global economic downturn to economies and political environment of developing countries It also looks into potential changes that are likely to take place in the current and future architecture of the world On this basis, an attempt is made to envisage the vectors and results of the evolution of the less developed economies’ place and role in a forthcoming new global normality A study of developmental problems of this group of states is undertaken in the context of the ongoing globalization, fragmentation and sovereignization processes The article considers the transformations taking place in and around developing countries from three key perspectives: a) the retrospect and perspective evolution of the globali-zation process;b) direct consequences of the pandemic and the global economic crisis for these countries’ economic, social and political development;c) possible “post-coronavirus” development models, including the implementation of the responsible development concept and answers to challenges of the industrial revolution 4 0 The authors provide a segmented picture of the main areas of concern, or of political and economic action required, namely: medical and epi-demiological consequences per se;an exorbitant narrowing of strategic prospects for sustainable development;the meltdown of favorable paradigms of the world order and mutually beneficial relations between members of the international community, which have been present through the last two decades As a result of the analysis undertaken, the authors come to a conclusion that it would be a mistake to seek to restore the world economy by simply returning the constituent national economies to the pre-crisis state – ​the one that caused the crisis and the slump In view of current realities, a paradigm shift is becoming an urgent need for non-Western nations Even in less developed countries, it is wiser to start building the recovery growth around the core pillars of the industrial revolution 4 0 and of the responsible development © 2020 Global Research Online All rights reserved
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