包含价格、生产和投资自我调节机制的人工经济系统中资金循环的多主体模拟

Shigeaki Ogibayashi, Kousei Takashima
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引用次数: 9

摘要

对一个由生产者、消费者和银行组成的人工经济系统进行建模,根据各主体行为的微观规则,对系统的宏观行为进行模拟,假设消费者在其可支配收入的范围内购买产品,在市场上选择最便宜的产品,生产者雇佣消费者,支付他们工资,向市场投放产品,根据库存货物数量和某些时期的总销售额调整产品的数量和价格,有时向银行借钱,投资设备。结果表明,人工经济系统的宏观行为计算结果与现实经济系统的宏观行为表现出良好的一致性,即市场价格取决于市场产品的供给和需求趋向于均衡价格,根据生产成本产生赢家和输家两种类型的生产者,其中一些输家最终破产。通过代理人之间的资金循环,出现了一个商业周期,银行的存贷款总额在时间上呈现出周期性的上下波动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multi-Agent Simulation of Fund Circulation in an Artificial Economic System Involving Self-Adjusted Mechanism of Price, Production and Investment
An artificial economic system composed of producers, consumers and a bank was modeled and macroscopic behavior of the system was simulated based on microscopic rules of acts of each agent, where it was assumed that the consumers buy products within the limit of their disposable income, selecting the cheapest product in the market, and producers hire consumers, pay them salary, feed products to the market adjusting both the amount and price of products based on both their amount of goods in stock and total sales during some periods and sometimes invest in equipment, borrowing money from the bank. As a result, it was revealed that the calculated macroscopic behavior of the artificial economic system shows in good agreement with that of a real system in that the market price tends to an equilibrium price depending on the supply and demand of products in the market, two types of producers, winners and losers, arise depending on the production cost with some of the losers ending up going bankrupt, and a business cycle emerges through the fund circulation among agents where total deposit and loaned money in the bank showed cyclic up and down movement in time.
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