气候变化下农业生产风险管理工具的采用选择

N. Etim, Dorothy A. Thompson, N. Etim
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引用次数: 2

摘要

气候变化的长期影响可能会影响粮食安全,因此促使农业部门对生产和市场风险以及这些气候变化造成的不确定性具有更强的抵御能力。从广泛的风险管理工具中进行选择可以帮助农民管理不确定性并适应气候变化。然而,采用这些风险管理工具的选择受到许多因素的极大影响。进行了一项实证研究,以估计影响尼日利亚阿夸伊博姆州农民采用农业风险管理工具选择的因素。采用多阶段抽样方法,选取具有代表性的农户进行研究。通过问卷调查从农民中获取信息。采用多项逻辑分析方法对影响作物多样化、保险和合同经营的因素进行了分析。实证结果表明,农民的年龄对采取作物多样化和保险的决策有显著的负相关影响。结果进一步表明,农户采用作物多样化和承包经营作为风险管理工具的决策受到耕地规模的显著正影响(p<0.05)。调查结果还表明,天气信息的获取和推广联系的频率分别在10%的水平上显著影响农民选择作物保险和作物多样化的决策。结果表明,农民采用作物多样化作为风险管理工具的决定受到推广接触频率的积极影响。促进高效和有效的推广服务提供、获取天气和气候信息以及人力资本开发将是明智的政策选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Adoption Choice of Risk Management Tools in Agricultural Production under Climate Change
The long term impact of climate change is likely to affect food security and therefore prompts the agricultural sector to be more resilient to production and market risk, and uncertainties caused by these changes in climate. Choosing from a wide range of risk management tools can help farmers manage uncertainties and adapt to climate change. However, the choice of adoption of these risk management tools are greatly influenced by a number of factors. An empirical study was conducted to estimate the factors influencing the adoption choice of agricultural risk management tools by farmers in Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Multistage sampling procedure was employed to select the representative farmers for the study. Information were elicited from farmers using questionnaires. Factors influencing the adoption of crop diversification, insurance and contract farming were analyzed using multinomial logit approach. Empirical results revealed that the decision to adopt crop diversification and insurance were inversely and significantly affected by age of the farmers. Results further showed that farmers decision to adopt crop diversification and contract farming as risk management tools were positively and significantly influenced by the size of farmland at (p<0.05). Findings also showed that access to weather information and frequency of extension contact significantly influenced farmers decision to adopt crop insurance and crop diversification respectively at 10% level. Result indicates that farmers decision to adopt crop diversification as a risk management tool was positively affected by frequency of extension contact. Promoting efficient and effective extension service delivery, access to weather and climate information and human capital development would be sensible policy options.
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