基于长短期记忆神经网络的二氧化氮日浓度预测

Bingchun Liu, Xiaogang Yu, Qingshan Wang, Shijie Zhao, Lei Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

二氧化氮污染对人们的生产生活造成了严重影响,治理任务十分艰巨。准确预测NO2浓度对大气污染治理具有重要意义。本文以北京市NO2日浓度为预测目标,以大气污染物和气象因子为输入指标,构建了基于长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)的NO2浓度预测模型。首先,对模型的参数和结构进行调整,得到最优预测模型;其次,在最优预测模型的基础上构建三组不同的输入指标,进入模型学习;最后,判断不同输入指标对模型准确率的影响。结果表明,LSTM模型在NO2浓度预测中具有较高的应用价值。三个输入指标中的最高温度和O3提高了预测精度,NO2历史低频数据降低了预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network for Daily NO2 Concentration Forecasting
NO2 pollution has caused serious impact on people's production and life, and the management task is very difficult. Accurate prediction of NO2 concentration is of great significance for air pollution management. In this paper, a NO2 concentration prediction model based on long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) is constructed with daily NO2 concentration in Beijing as the prediction target and atmospheric pollutants and meteorological factors as the input indicators. Firstly, the parameters and architecture of the model are adjusted to obtain the optimal prediction model. Secondly, three different sets of input indicators are built on the basis of the optimal prediction model to enter the model learning. Finally, the impact of different input indicators on the accuracy of the model is judged. The results show that the LSTM model has high application value in NO2 concentration prediction. The maximum temperature and O3 among the three input indicators improve the prediction accuracy while the NO2 historical low-frequency data reduce the prediction accuracy.
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