国际贸易中的滞后检验

Ricardo Sávio Denadai, V. Teles
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文提出了一种新的检验强滞后的方法,即在宏观层面,在国际贸易中。捕获迟滞效应的变量基于一个理论模型,该模型使用状态空间模型进行校准,以确定每个时间点的参数。然后将这些变量应用于具有断点的协整检验,从而可以验证滞后效应在确定长期平衡中是否必不可少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Test for Hysteresis in International Trade
The article suggests a new test for strong hysteresis, that is, at the macro level, in international trade. The variables that capture the effects of hysteresis are based on a theoretical model with calibrations using a state–space model to determine the parameters for each point in time. These variables are then applied to a cointegration test with breaks, where it is possible to verify whether the hysteresis effect is essential in determining the long‐term equilibrium.
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