2025年印尼能源结构中的可再生能源优化

Farizal F, Fadhel Muhammad
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摘要

获得能源被认为是人类福利的基本需求之一。工业生产小工具和提供服务也需要能源。在交通运输中,从一点移动到另一点需要能源。由于人口数量的增加和生活方式的改变,能源需求不断增加。目前,最常用的一次能源是石油和煤炭;然而,这些化石燃料是不可再生的,不可持续的,枯竭的(Sorrell, 2012)。许多油田已经达到了产量峰值(Krumdieck, 2010)。这种减少对包括印度尼西亚在内的世界各地依赖石油的经济体构成了挑战。众所周知,化石燃料也是温室气体排放的来源。印度尼西亚已承诺到2030年将其排放量减少29% (PLN, 2016)。为了实现这一目标,2014年第79号政府法规规定,到2025年,可再生能源占全国能源消耗的23%。印度尼西亚拥有多种可再生能源(RES),包括生物质能、水电、地热、城市固体废物、海洋和太阳能。由于印尼是一个以农业为基础的经济体,广阔的农场提供废弃的生物质,特别是棕榈油和大米的生产。它们生产秸秆、稻壳、叶子、树干和其他废物(Weldekidan, et ., 2020)。印度尼西亚位于火山带和阿尔卑斯带的交汇处,据估计是世界上地热潜力最大的国家。此外,由于印度尼西亚三分之二的领土被水覆盖,因此可以使用水电和海洋能(Farizal和Asri, 2018)。然而,由于大多数可再生能源比化石燃料需要更多的资本投资,而且技术上不像化石燃料那样成熟,因此选择开发哪种可再生能源很重要。在能源规划中,特别是在规划可再生能源以替代化石燃料时,选择一种能源不仅要考虑其潜在的可用性(资源丰富),还要考虑其可靠性、可靠性、成本以及可及性。关键词:可再生能源,能源结构,优化,混合整数非线性规划
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimization of Renewable Energy in Indonesian Energy Mix 2025
Access to energy is considered one of basic need for human welfare. Energy is also needed by industry to produce gadgets and provide services. In transportation, energy is needed to move from one point to another point. Due to the increment number of human beings and their changing lifestyle, energy demand is ever increased. Currently, the most commonly used primary energy sources are oil and coal; however, these fossil fuels are non-renewable, unsustainable, and depleted (Sorrell, 2012). Many oil fields have already reached their peak production (Krumdieck, 2010). This decrease poses challenges to oil-dependent economies around the world, including Indonesia. Fossil fuels are also notoriously source of green house gas emission. Indonesia has pledged to reduce its emissions by 29% by 2030 (PLN, 2016). To reach this target, Government Regulation No. 79 of 2014 mandated 23% of the national energy consumed to be supplied by renewable energy (RE) by 2025. Indonesia has a variety of RE resources (RES), including biomass, hydropower, geothermal, municipal solid waste (MSW), ocean, and solar. As Indonesia is an agricultural-based economy, expansive farms provide waste biomass, especially from the production of palm oil and rice. They produce straw, rice husks, leaves, trunks, and other waste materials (Weldekidan, et al., 2020). Located at the intersection of the Ring of Fire and the Alpide belt, Indonesia is estimated to have the greatest geothermal potential in the world. Moreover, as two-thirds of the Indonesian territory are covered by water, hydropower and ocean energy can be used (Farizal and Asri, 2018). However, as most RES require more capital investment than fossil fuel and are not as technologically mature as their fossil fuel counterparts, selecting which RES to develop is important. In energy planning, especially when planning RES to substitute fossil fuel, an energy source is selected not only due to its potential availability (abundant resource) but also its dependability, reliability, cost as well as its accessibility. Keywords: Renewable energy, energy mix, optimization, mixed integer non linear programming.
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