Forecasting expected food safety risks in the context of public administration

The purpose of the article is to study the forecasting of expected risks of the level of food security through a system of criteria and indicators in the context of public administration, as well as to determine the position, state and main threats of Ukraine in the food sector in the global environment. Research methodology is based on the use of methods of analysis and synthesis, the method of observation, methods of induction and deduction, methods of comparison and analogy, graphic, logical methods. The methodological basis of the study was the methods of analysis, synthesis and observation, which provided an opportunity to actualize the main problems of food security in the context of public administration today. Techniques of deduction and induction were used to determine important indicators for predicting expected food safety risks. The scientific novelty of the obtained results lies in the well-founded conceptual model of the implementation of the Food Security Strategy, which ensures the effectiveness of achieving the basic goals of sustainable development. Conclusions. In the system of public management of guaranteeing food security, it is obvious that scientific approaches to the development of balanced indicators capable of diagnosing weaknesses and threats and correcting them, depending on the probability of their occurrence, have been developed. There is also a need for public monitoring and forecasting of the food market, analysis of the implementation of proposed ideas. Forecasting of expected food safety risks must meet the following basic requirements: completeness and accuracy of initial data, their scientificity and comparability. Keywords: forecasting, food security, food security indicators, public administration, food security strategy.