COVID-19大流行期间俄罗斯与委内瑞拉的关系。俄罗斯超级大国利益的视角

Agnieszka Miarka, Justyna Łapaj-Kucharska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:一些国家看到了实现自身利益的新领域,因此多次利用抗击COVID-19大流行的斗争。俄罗斯联邦就是这样一个国家。这篇文章旨在解释,在新冠疫情时代,俄罗斯在拉美地区扩大政治力量的战略目标中,与委内瑞拉的密切关系的重要性。为了实现研究目标,作者重点回答了以下研究问题:委内瑞拉的政治危机如何影响对抗COVID-19大流行的斗争?在大流行病危机时期,俄罗斯为什么以及如何一贯支持Nicolás马杜罗政权?本文的研究假设是,俄罗斯利用新冠疫情这一超级大国政策的新条件,加强对委内瑞拉国内政治的影响,以确保其超级大国利益的实现。方法:作者对媒体广播、政治家的声明和有关该主题的文献(英语、俄语和西班牙语)进行了内容分析。此外,对数量数据的重新分析,例如,可以描述两国关系的经济水平。研究的主要部分于2021年11月完成。本文运用了具有国际关系研究特色的方法,包括决策分析方法。结果:研究结果证实,莫斯科在拉丁美洲的活动应被解释为俄罗斯地缘战略反应性的表现之一,即对美国在后苏联地区行动的回应。结论:在这种情况下,加拉加斯作为能源合作的关键区域伙伴和军事技术销售市场,在俄罗斯的政策中具有特殊地位。该研究于2020年3月13日进行,并于2022年2月24日之前结束。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russian-Venezuelan relations during the COVID-19 pandemic. The perspective of Russia's superpower interests
Background: The fight against the COVID-19 pandemic has been instrumentalised on several occasions by powers that have seen a new sphere for realising their interests. One such power is the Russian Federation. The article aims to explain the importance of close relations with Venezuela for Russia's strategic objectives in expanding its political power in the Latin American region in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic. To achieve the research objective, the authors focused on answering the following research questions: How has the political crisis in Venezuela affected the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic? Why and how does Russia consistently support the regime of Nicolás Maduro in times of a pandemic crisis? The article's research hypothesis is that Russia used the new conditions of superpower policy, the COVID-19 pandemic, to strengthen its influence on Venezuela's domestic politics to secure the realisation of its superpower interests. Methods: The authors used content analysis of media broadcasts, statements by politicians, and literature on the subject (in English, Russian and Spanish). In addition, the re-analysis of quantitative data made it possible, for example, to characterise the economic level of the relations. The main part of the research was completed in November 2021. The article uses methods characteristic of international relations research, including the method of decision analysis.  Results: The results of the research confirm that Moscow’s activity in Latin America should be interpreted as one of the manifestations of the reactivity of Russian geostrategy, i.e. a response to U.S. actions in the post-Soviet area. Conclusions: In this context, Caracas has a special position in Russia’s policy as a key regional partner in energy cooperation and a market for the sale of military technologies. The research was conducted on 13 March 2020 and ended before 24 February 2022.
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