为什么银行股在COVID-19期间崩盘?

V. Acharya, R. Engle, Sascha Steffen
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引用次数: 42

摘要

我们研究了COVID-19大流行期间银行股价的暴跌。我们发现了与“信贷额度缩减渠道”相一致的证据。那些事先有大量未提取信贷额度敞口以及事后有大量总提款的银行,其股价下跌幅度更大。对于资本缓冲较高的银行,这种影响会减弱。这些银行减少定期贷款,即使在政策措施实施后。我们得出的结论是,银行提供信贷额度似乎类似于为总风险撰写深度价外看跌期权;我们展示了由此产生的或有杠杆和股票回报敞口如何可追溯地纳入银行资本压力测试。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why Did Bank Stocks Crash during COVID-19?
We study the crash of bank stock prices during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find evidence consistent with a "credit line drawdown channel". Stock prices of banks with large ex-ante exposures to undrawn credit lines as well as large ex-post gross drawdowns decline more. The effect is attenuated for banks with higher capital buffers. These banks reduce term loan lending, even after policy measures were implemented. We conclude that bank provision of credit lines appears akin to writing deep out-of-the-money put options on aggregate risk; we show how the resulting contingent leverage and stock return exposure can be incorporated tractably into bank capital stress tests.
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