3DTV在美国和国家橄榄球联盟的大规模采用

Marian Ehret
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摘要

目的是研究在2010年代3d电视技术失败后,美国如何大规模采用3d电视作为电视发展的下一个重要步骤。研究问题的答案集中在理解大规模收养需要存在什么条件,以及国家橄榄球联盟电视转播如何支持收养过程。综合文献综述定义了与技术、健康、内容、营销策略和价格相关的采用抑制因素。提出了解决方案。罗杰斯的创新扩散理论和巴斯模型从比较的角度进行了应用,将3d电视与高清电视和彩色电视的历史采用模式进行了比较。事实证明,比较方法非常有用,因为忽略历史采用模式的预测模型通常会失败。调查结果显示,如果《阿凡达》续集开启3D电影的另一个周期,然后3D电视重新引入,那么到2032年,大多数美国家庭都可以拥有3D电视机。研究发现,NFL电视转播可能是促使美国人购买3d电视机并支持大规模采用的最重要因素。这项研究遇到了与Bass模型有关的局限性。此外,在推广美国市场的调查结果之前,还需要仔细调整以适应其他国家的情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
3DTV Mass Adoption in the United States and the National Football League
Purpose was to examine how mass adoption of 3DTV in the United States as the next major step in TV evolution could take place, after the technology recently failed in the 2010s. Answers to the research questions focused on understanding what conditions for mass adoptions would need to exist and how the National Football League TV transmissions could support the adoption process until when. An integrated literature review defined inhibiting factors to adoption related to technology, health, content, marketing strategy and price. Solution paths were proposed. Rogers’ diffusion of innovation theory and the Bass model were applied in a comparatist perspective, comparing 3DTV to historical adoption pat-terns of both HDTV and color TV. The comparatist approach proved to be very useful, as forecast models ignoring historical adoption patterns usually failed. Findings revealed that most American households could possess 3DTV sets by 2032, if Avatar sequels would kick off another cycle of 3D cinema, followed by 3DTV re-introduction. NFL TV transmissions were found to be perhaps the single most important factor to motivate Americans buying 3DTV sets and supporting mass adoption. The study encountered limitations, related to the Bass model. Also, findings from the American market would need to be adapted carefully to situations in other countries, before generalizing them.
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