论统计学与数据挖掘分析相结合提高学生成绩

Andrei Duluta, S. Mocanu, Daniela Saru
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引用次数: 0

摘要

学习过程是(或应该是)定期监测和评估,以提高其结果和效率。不幸的是,大多数时候,在做各种报告、统计或建议时,只考虑学生的成绩。然而,很明显,除了基于学生的即时或一段时间的表现外,还有其他客观影响整体表现的外部因素。传统的调查方法几乎完全基于统计工具,并不能揭示给学生带来或多或少好结果的所有方面。出于这个原因,作者的目标是在统计和数据挖掘工具的基础上进行综合分析。虽然完全基于统计方法的方法提供了不可否认的数值结果,但数据挖掘方法为普通数字提供了可能的解释。这些工具一起使用,不仅可以提供学生表现的相关跟踪,还可以提供改进结果的建议。考虑到各种因素,增加了分析的客观性,并提供了一个新的视角,允许搜索和识别一些不那么明显的参数之间存在的关系,如学生的负担,学者的时间表,课程顺序。本研究以传统的统计方法和数据挖掘技术为基础,一方面试图验证教学方法,另一方面试图找出可以改进的方面。该研究的相关性很高,因为使用了分布在8年期间的2000多条记录。来自实践活动(实验室、测试、个别项目)和期末考试的独立评估交叉验证了总体结果。统计方法由时间序列和直方图表示,这些直方图显示了学生在整个时期的表现的数值结果。结果以表示随后执行的数据挖掘分析的开始的方式呈现。数据挖掘部分概述了最重要的方面,例如:数据预处理、各种模型和方法的实现、结果分析。整体方法能够找出学生表现不佳的一些原因,并提出一些改进建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ON IMPROVING STUDENTS' PERFORMANCE THROUGH COMBINED STATISTICS AND DATA MINING ANALYSIS
The learning process is (or should be) periodically monitored and evaluated in order to improve its results and efficiency. Unfortunately, most of the times, only the students' results are taken into consideration when making various reports, statistics or recommendations. However, it is obvious that, besides the instant or a period based student's performance, there are other external factors that affect in an objective manner the overall performance. Traditional investigation methods are based almost exclusively on statistical instruments and are not capable to reveal all aspects that lead to more or less good results for the students. For this reason, the authors aim to make a combined analysis based both on statistics and Data Mining instruments. While the approach based solely on statistics methods offers undeniable numerical results, the Data Mining approach comes with possible explanations for the plain figures. Used together, these tools are capable to offer not only a relevant track of students' performance but can also provide recommendations for improving the results. Various elements are taken into consideration increasing the objectivity of the analysis and offering a new perspective that allows searching and identifying the existence of relations between some not so obvious parameters such as student's load, scholar timetable, sequence of courses. The study is based on traditional statistics methods and Data Mining techniques in an attempt to validate teaching methods, on one hand, and to identify the aspects that may be improved, on the other. The relevance of the study is high since more than 2000 records distributed over a period of 8 years were used. Independent evaluations from practical activities (laboratory, tests, individual projects) and final exams cross-validated the overall results. The statistical approach is represented by time series and histograms which reveal numerical results for the students' performance over the entire period. The results are presented in ways that represent the start of Data Mining analysis which was performed afterwards. The Data Mining section outlines the most important aspects, such as: data preprocessing, implementation of various models and methods, results analysis. The overall approach is capable to identify some causes for non-optimal performance of the students and also to make some recommendations for improving it.
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