可再生能源与对外贸易平衡和经济增长的关系——以土耳其和欧盟为例的分析

Burak Beder, Sunay Çıralı
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摘要

从历史上看,大部分能源需求都是由碳密集型初级能源提供的。特别是自20世纪70年代以来,这种情况暴露出两个主要问题。首先,一次能源是造成气候变化最重要的因素之一,因为它们显著增加了温室气体排放。其次,一次能源是不可再生的,其储量有限,这一事实最近导致了能源价格的意外波动。这种情况造成了造成危机的条件,危及能源供应安全,威胁到生产和社会生活。在这种背景下,人们对气候变化和能源冲击的认识不断提高,将可再生能源取代一次能源提上了议程。可再生能源对土耳其和欧盟(EU)来说尤其重要。因为土耳其和欧盟的大部分能源需求都是通过进口来满足的。这种情况直接受到能源价格快速波动的影响,可能导致各国出现对外贸易不平衡、能源供应安全、通货膨胀和经济放缓等问题。在这种情况下,土耳其和欧盟采用可再生能源来维持经济增长至关重要。本研究的目的是确定2000 - 2020年土耳其和欧盟国家的可再生能源发电装机容量与对外贸易平衡和经济增长之间的关系。在此背景下,拟使用从IRENA和世界银行数据库收集的数据进行小组格兰杰因果关系检验。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Relationship of Renewable Energy with Foreign Trade Balance and The Economic Growth: An Analysis in the Context of Turkey and The European Union
Historically, most of the energy need is provided by carbon-intensive primary energy sources. Especially, since the 1970s, this circumstance has exposed two major issues. Firstly, primary energy sources are one of the most significant contributors to climate change since they significantly increase greenhouse gas emissions. Secondly, the fact that primary energy sources are non-renewable, and their limited reserves have recently caused unexpected price movements in energy prices. This situation creates conditions that cause crises, jeopardizes the security of energy supply, and threatens production and social living. In this context, the increased awareness of climate change and the energy shocks experienced put renewable energy sources instead of primary energy sources on the agenda. Renewable energy sources are particularly substantial for Turkey and the European Union (EU). Because Turkey and the EU meet most of their energy needs through imports. By being directly affected by rapid fluctuations in the pricing of energy resources, this circumstance can cause countries to experience issues such as foreign trade imbalance, energy supply security, inflation, and economic slowdown. In this scenario, it is crucial for Turkey and the EU to adopt renewable energy sources to continue economic growth. The purpose of this study is to determine the relationship between the installed renewable energy power capacity of electricity generation with foreign trade balance and the economic growth of Turkey and EU countries from 2000 to 2020. In this context, it is intended to conduct a Panel Granger Causality test using data gathered from the IRENA and World Bank databases.
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