最优动态信息获取

ERN: Search Pub Date : 2017-05-14 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3024275
Weijie Zhong
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引用次数: 37

摘要

我研究了一个动态模型,在这个模型中,决策者(DM)在做出决策之前获得关于不同选择的收益的信息。该模型的关键特征是信息的灵活性:DM可以选择任何动态信号过程作为信息源,但要根据信号的信息量付出流量成本。在最优策略下,DM根据泊松过程获取到达的信号。最佳泊松信号证实了DM的先验信念,并且足够精确,可以保证立即采取行动。随着时间的推移,由于没有泊松信号的到来,DM继续寻找越来越精确但频率较低的泊松信号。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Dynamic Information Acquisition
I study a dynamic model in which a decision‐maker (DM) acquires information about the payoffs of different alternatives prior to making a decision. The model's key feature is the flexibility of information: the DM can choose any dynamic signal process as an information source, subject to a flow cost that depends on the informativeness of the signal. Under the optimal policy, the DM acquires a signal that arrives according to a Poisson process. The optimal Poisson signal confirms the DM's prior belief and is sufficiently precise to warrant immediate action. Over time, given the absence of the arrival of a Poisson signal, the DM continues seeking an increasingly precise but less frequent Poisson signal.
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