新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)对尼泊尔经济的影响

Jyoti Koirala, Suman Acharya
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引用次数: 22

摘要

专家分析表明,由于尼泊尔完全依赖其他国家和进口,新型冠状病毒疫情对尼泊尔经济产生了直接影响。经济和社会孤立的成本将会更高。该国严重依赖汇款流动,因此影响将持续到未来5年。劳动力市场和教育系统也受到了影响。在未来的日子里,旅游业相关行业的失业率将会更高。的确,仅仅计算对旅游、酒店、零售贸易下降、汇款下降、教育中心关闭的影响,不足以反映尼泊尔经济受到影响的真实情况。在这个全球化的世界中,一个国家的经济冲击将直接与其他国家联系在一起,因此需要计算各个部门的经济联系,包括直接和间接的影响。定性数据所显示的影响远远大于治疗所涉病例的卫生预算费用。更持久的冲击是,在日益全球化的情况下,冠状病毒持续的时间比任何人希望的都要长。有必要建立全球监测和协调机制,以遏制经济和微生物流行病,因为其影响高于预期。需要进一步研究,了解对尼泊尔各经济指标的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Novel Corona Virus (COVID-19 or 2019-nCoV) on Nepalese Economy
Expert analysis shows that there is direct impact of Novel Corona Virus outbreaks on Nepalese Economy as Nepal is fully dependent on other countries and imports. The economic and social isolation cost will be higher. Country substantially dependent on remittance flow so impact will be seen till next 5 years. Labour Market and Education system have also been affected. Unemployment will be higher in tourism related industry in days to come. This is true that just calculating the impact on tourist trips, hotels, declines in retail trade, decline in remittance, close down of education centre are not enough to get the real picture of impact on economy in Nepal. There are some linkages in economy across various sectors both direct and indirect impact need to be calculated as economic shock of one nation will be directly linked to other nation in this global world. The impact illustrated through the qualitative data is far greater than the cost to a health budget of treatment of the cases involved. The more persistent shock is Corona lasting for longer than anyone hopes in this increased globalization. There is need of global monitoring and coordination mechanisms in containing both economic and microbial epidemics as the impact is higher than expected. Further study is required understanding the impact on each economic indicators in Nepal.
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