风险与议价博弈中的变化

Hailin Sun, Sanxi Li, Tong Wang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了具有随机结果和分歧点的议价博弈纳什解的风险变化的比较静力学。当绝对风险容忍度为线性且斜率恒定时,具有风险结果和风险分歧点的议价纳什解可以看作是两个风险规避主体之间可分确定性等价的分割。我们证明了谈判者风险前景的恶化是否对其对手有利,通常取决于偏好是否表现出减少的绝对风险厌恶(DARA)。具体来说,对于完全相关的风险前景,DARA和阿罗-普拉特法适用于与议价者初始财富或风险敞口大小相当的联合确定性的凹度;对于独立的风险前景,DARA la Ross在罗斯柴尔德-斯蒂格利茨风险增加的情况下,以增加独立噪声的形式削弱了他的风险承担,这两者都导致了议价者风险厌恶倾向的增加,以及蛋糕的共同规模。这些结果阐明了个体风险预期和风险偏好如何影响合作伙伴的收入份额,从而影响婚姻形成的市场均衡。我们还证明了该结果在Rubinstein非合作议价博弈下具有鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Change in Risk and Bargaining Game
This paper studies the comparative statics regarding changes in risk on Nash's solution to bargaining games with stochastic outcome and disagreement points. When absolute risk tolerance is linear with constant slope, the Nash's solution to bargaining with risky outcomes and risky disagreement points can be viewed as division of divisible certainty equivalent between two risk-averse agents. We show that whether a deterioration of a bargainer's risky prospect is advantageous to his opponent often depends on whether preference displays decreasing absolute risk aversion (DARA). Specically, for perfectly correlated risky prospects, DARA a la Arrow-Pratt works to the concavity of the joint certainty equivalent with respect to a bargainer's initial wealth or size of risky exposure; for independent risky prospects, DARA a la Ross vulnerates his risk bearing under Rothschild-Stiglitz increase in risk taking the form of adding an independent noise, both leading to the bargainer's increased propensity for risk aversion as well as the joint size of the pie. These results illuminate how individual risky prospect as well as risk preference influence the cooperating partners' income shares and thus the market equilibrum of marriage formation. We also show that this result is robust under Rubinstein's non-cooperative bargaining game.
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