陆上输油管道意外泄漏的环境风险分析

Shengli Liu, Yongtu Liang
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摘要

如果不采取及时有效的措施,石油和石油产品的意外泄漏将对环境造成广泛的破坏。预测溢油的后果对应急管理具有重要意义。尽管用于天然气管道风险评估的软件非常流行,但用于危险液体管道的软件却很少,因为在相同的情况下,气体和液体的意外释放行为不同。两者的主要区别在于,泄漏的石油扩散主要受土地地形影响,可能造成土壤或水道污染,而输气管道故障可能形成气云或爆炸,只会造成环境污染问题。为了分析石油管道泄漏对环境的影响,建立了一个综合模型。本文提出的方法可以预测管道中释放的液体的流动轨迹和其他相关参数,包括石油的扩散程度以及在任何给定地形下到达任何重要位置(如河流)的释放比例。该方法已应用于2010年发生在密歇根州马歇尔的一次释放。所得结果与实际数据相比具有正确的数量级。本文提出并讨论了一个案例研究,以说明该方法的特点。结果证实,所提出的模型可以被认为是陆上石油管道相关风险管理综合方法中的重要工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Environmental Risk Analysis of Accidental Release From Onshore Oil Pipelines
Accidental releases of oil and oil products will cause extensive damage to environment, if timely and effective measures are not available. Predicting the consequences of spilled oil is of significant importance for emergency management. Although software for risk assessment of gas pipelines is very popular, few are available for hazardous liquid pipelines, due to the difference in behaviors of accidental releases of gases and liquids in the same situation. The major differences are that the spread of released oil is mainly affected by the topography of the land and may result in pollution of soil or waterways, while gas pipeline failure may form gas clouds or explosions and merely pose environmental pollution problems. An integrated model was developed in order to analyze the environmental consequences of spills from oil pipelines. The method presented in this paper allowed to predict the flow trajectory of released liquid from a pipeline and other relevant parameters, including the extent of spread of the oil and the proportion of release reaching any important location, such as a river, in any given topography. The methodology has been applied to a release, which occurred in Marshall, Michigan, in 2010. The results obtained are of the correct order of magnitude compared with realistic data. A case-study is presented and discussed to illustrate the features of the methodology. The results confirmed that the proposed model may be considered an important tool within a comprehensive approach to the management of risk related to onshore oil pipelines.
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