小额信贷可以提高收入:来自中国随机对照试验的证据

Shu Cai, A. Park, Sangui Wang
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引用次数: 20

摘要

本研究评估了中国一项随机对照试验(RCT)的影响,该试验在贫困农村引入了外部资助的农村信贷基金。最近基于随机对照试验的研究未能找到小额信贷干预显著增加收入的证据,与此相反,我们发现中国的项目显著提高了家庭收入并减少了贫困。我们探讨了中国可能受到更大影响的可能解释:一次性还款、较低的利率、项目实施前获得正规信贷的机会较少,以及信贷受限的非农就业机会的潜在回报更高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Microfinance Can Raise Incomes: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial in China
This study evaluates the impact of a randomized control trial (RCT) in China that introduced externally funded village credit funds in poor, rural villages. In contrast to recent RCT-based studies that have failed to find evidence of significant increases in income from microfinance interventions, we find that the Chinese program significantly raises household income and reduces poverty. We explore possible explanations as to why the estimated impacts may be greater in China: lump-sum repayments, lower interest rates, less access to formal credit before the program, and greater potential returns from off-farm employment opportunities that are credit-constrained.
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