能源消费、二氧化碳排放与经济增长的关系:来自主要石油能源消费国的证据

Maryam Noorymotlagh, S. Çiftcioglu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着对气候变化的关注和能源需求的增加,许多发达国家都在追求可持续和低碳的经济发展计划。化石燃料能源在经济中的大量使用增加了二氧化碳的排放水平。在过去二十年中,二氧化碳(CO2)是加剧全球变暖现象的主要温室气体,是一个日益严峻的挑战。随着世界发达国家立即采取措施解决这一问题,有效利用能源和尽量减少对环境的污染至关重要。因此,本研究考察了能源消耗大国(包括美国、日本、加拿大和澳大利亚)的能源消耗、二氧化碳排放和经济增长之间的关系。它还估计了通货膨胀率、投资率和贸易开放度等其他宏观经济参数对经济增长的影响。对1990-2018年的时间序列数据进行多元回归分析。实证结果表明,能源消费对所选国家的经济增长具有显著的正向影响。不出所料,作为燃料能源使用的代表,二氧化碳排放对环境产生了破坏性影响。此外,研究结果显示,投资率、贸易开放程度与经济增长呈正相关。相反,所有选定国家的通货膨胀率对增长产出的影响微不足道。为了减少碳排放,建议采取有效利用能源、提高税率、替代生物柴油、使用可再生能源代替化石燃料等政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relationship between Energy Consumption, Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Economic Growth: Evidence from Selected Top Oil Energy-Consuming Countries
With rising climate change concerns and increasing energy demand, many of the developed countries are pursuing sustainable and low carbon economic development plans. The dramatic use of fossil-fuel energy in the economy increases the level of carbon dioxide emissions. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the dominant greenhouse gas that intensifies the global warming phenomena as a rising challenge over the last two decades. As developed nations around the world are taking immediate steps to address this issue, it is vital to use energy efficiently and minimize environmental pollution effects. Thus, this research examined the relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth for the top oil energy-consuming countries, including the U.S., Japan, Canada, and Australia. It also estimated the impact of other macroeconomic parameters comprising inflation rate, investment rate, and trade openness on economic growth. Multiple regression analysis was employed for the time series data covering the timespan from 1990-2018. The empirical findings indicated that energy consumption has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in the selected countries. Unsurprisingly, CO2 emissions, a proxy for fuel-based energy use, had a destructive influence on the environment. Moreover, the results showed that a positive association existed between investment rate, trade openness, and economic growth. Conversely, the inflation rate in all of the selected countries had an insignificant impact on growth output. Policies such as efficient use of energy, increasing the rate of tax, replacing bio-diesel fuel, or implementing renewable energy instead of fossil-fuels were suggested to curb carbon emissions.
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