美国和中国的增长冲击:对澳大利亚增长的影响

IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS

Economic Papers Pub Date : 2020-02-12 DOI:10.1111/1759-3441.12276

Lance A. Fisher, Hyeon-seung Huh, David Kim

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文估计了一个块递归VAR来评估美国和中国GDP增长冲击对澳大利亚增长的相对影响，并控制了这些冲击对澳大利亚其他三个主要贸易伙伴增长的影响。对于1984-2016年的样本，对美国GDP增长的冲击对澳大利亚GDP增长的影响大于对中国GDP增长的冲击。在摇窗样本中，中国GDP冲击对澳大利亚经济增长的影响显著增加。对于2000-2016年的子样本，对美国和中国GDP增长的冲击对澳大利亚GDP增长的影响程度相同。

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Growth Shocks in the United States and China: Effects on Australia's Growth

This paper estimates a block recursive VAR to evaluate the relative impacts of US and Chinese GDP growth shocks on Australia's growth, controlling for the impacts of these shocks on growth in three of Australia's other major trading partners. For the sample 1984–2016, shocks to US GDP growth have a larger impact on Australian GDP growth than do shocks to Chinese GDP growth. In rolling windows through the sample, the impact of Chinese GDP shocks on Australia's growth increases substantially. For the sub-sample 2000–2016, shocks to United States and Chinese GDP growth impact Australian GDP growth by the same magnitude.

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来源期刊

Economic Papers ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Economic Papers is one of two journals published by the Economics Society of Australia. The journal features a balance of high quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis which distinguishes it from other Australian journals. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. Contributions are sought from economists working in these areas and should be written to be accessible to a wide section of our readership. All contributions are refereed.