基于云模型的电压暂降设备故障概率评估

Sun Xiao-lu, Li Yuan-bo, Wang Ying, Xia Xian-yong
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引用次数: 1

摘要

敏感设备对电压跌落的敏感性取决于供电现场电压跌落的特性和设备的电压容限。它具有多不确定性,包括随机性和模糊性。本文采用云模型来表示设备的灵敏度。利用直接正态云发生器将VTC的定性分布转化为定量分布。计算出VTC概率密度函数的数值后,确定了设备的失效概率。PC机的仿真结果证明了该方法的正确性和合理性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Equipment Failure Probability Evaluation Due to Voltage Sag Using Cloud Model
The sensitivity of sensitive equipment to voltage sags depends on the characteristics of voltage sag on the power supply site and the voltage tolerance of equipment. It is multi-uncertain including stochastic and fuzzy. Cloud model is used to present the sensitivity of equipment in this paper. The direct normal cloud generator was used to translate the qualitative distribution of VTC into quantitative one. After the numerical values of probability density function of VTC was calculated, the failure probability of equipment was determined. The simulation results for PC have proved that the proposed method is correct and reasonable.
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