海拔升高是否与2011年密苏里州乔普林龙卷风死亡有关?实证研究

Mitchel Stimers, B. Paul
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2011年发生在美国密苏里州乔普林的龙卷风创造了死亡人数的记录——自1950年以来,美国没有其他龙卷风造成多达161人死亡。有许多随机参数可以影响龙卷风的速度、方向和强度,人们认为海拔可能对龙卷风的强度起作用。乔普林龙卷风创造了一条从头到尾高度约为50米的轨迹,这为研究龙卷风破坏路径上的高度变化是否与事件造成的死亡有关提供了动力。利用不同来源的数据,以及GIS和非参数统计的应用,我们发现海拔与龙卷风死亡人数呈负相关;这种关系在统计上不显著,讨论了其原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can Elevation be Associated with the 2011 Joplin, Missouri, Tornado Fatalities? An Empirical Study
The 2011 Joplin, MO, USA, tornado set a record in terms of the number of lives lost-no other tornado in the United States had killed as many as 161 people since 1950. There are many stochastic parameters that can affect the speed, direction, and magnitude of a tornado and it is thought that elevation may play a role in tornado intensity. The Joplin tornado created a track whose elevation was approximately 50 m from beginning to end, providing the impetus to examine whether or not the elevation change over the damage path tornado is associated with fatalities that resulted from the event. Using data collected from various sources, and the application of GIS as well as non-parametric statistics, we reveal that the elevation and tornado fatalities are inversely related, however; the relationship is not statistically significant, the reasons for which are discussed.
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