非均匀背景误差对全球波资料同化系统的影响

D. Greenslade, I. Young
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引用次数: 16

摘要

当前波浪资料同化系统的主要限制之一是缺乏对背景误差结构的精确表示。本文在前人研究成果的基础上,建立了观测误差方差、背景误差方差和背景误差相关性的模型。这些都在全球波浪资料同化系统中进行了测试,并根据浮标的独立观测结果验证了所产生的海浪预报。与澳大利亚气象局目前的海浪预报系统相比,显著的海浪高度预报显示出了实质性的改进。然而,对高峰时段的预测并没有得到类似的改善。发现新同化方案的区域影响随季节而变化。综上所述,考虑纬度相关的背景误差,改进背景和观测误差方差的说明,可以降低24小时预报的均方根误差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of inhomogenous background errors on a global wave data assimilation system
One of the main limitations in current wave data assimilation systems is the lack of an accurate representation of the structure of the background errors. In this work, models for the observational error variance, background error variance and background error correlations are developed based on the results of previous studies. These are tested in a global wave data assimilation system and the resulting wave forecasts are verified against independent observations from buoys. Forecasts of significant wave height show substantial improvement over the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's current operational wave forecasting system. However, forecasts of peak period are not similarly improved. The regional impacts of the new assimilation scheme are found to vary on a seasonal basis. Overall, it is shown that the inclusion of a latitudinally dependent background error, and improved specification of the background and observational error variances can reduce the root-mean-square error of 24-hour forecast Signific...
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