教育者用望远镜观察科技的未来

H. Jaakkola, J. Henno, B. Thalheim, J. Mäkelä
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引用次数: 4

摘要

我们生活在一个加速变化的世界,在这个世界里,技术作为推动者发挥着重要作用。向前看意味着为这些变化做好准备。准备可能是反应性的——在事情发生的那一刻对情况做出反应;积极主动——提前为可能发生的情况做好准备;或者preactive -能够提前影响未来可能发生的事情以及它如何发生。预测未来有助于我们为新情况做好准备。它是基于对过去和现在数据的理解而做出的预测。已知数据以趋势的形式组织起来,并进一步推断以涵盖未来。从技术角度来看,预测的方法有多种:算法、模拟、统计分析等。所使用的方法可以是定量的(未来数据被视为过去数据的函数)或定性的(主观的,基于分析中使用的目标群体的意见或判断)。技术是教育的重要组成部分,无论是支持有效的学习,还是作为教学本身的内容。因此,每个教育工作者都需要分析相关技术未来的技能。在本文中,我们介绍了一个框架,可用于分析技术变革在教育中的重要性,并作为课程的一部分。该方法基于对相关技术的趋势分析和分类,以考虑其对社会的影响的时间跨度。我们在本文中要回答的问题是“教育工作者如何分析他们工作中技术变化的后果?”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The educators' telescope to the future of technology
We live in a world of accelerating changes, where technology plays an important role as an enabler. Looking ahead means being prepared for these changes. Preparedness may be reactive - reacting to the situation at the moment something happens; proactive - being prepared in advance for a situation that may happen; or preactive - being able in advance to affect something that may happen in the future and how it happens. Forecasting the future helps us to be prepared for new situations. It is based on making predictions that are derived from understanding past and present data. Known data is organized in the form of trends and further extrapolated to cover the future. From the technical point of view, there are a variety of approaches for forecasting: algorithmic, simulation, statistical analysis etc. The methods used may be quantitative (future data is seen as a function of past data) or qualitative (subjective, based on the opinion or judgment of the target group used in the analysis). Technology is an essential part of education, both in supporting effective learning and as a content of teaching itself. As a result, every educator needs skills to analyze the future of relevant technologies. In this paper, we introduce a framework that can be used in analysis of the importance of technological changes in education and as a part of curricula. The approach is based on trend analysis and classification of the relevant technologies to take into account the time span of their effects in society. The question we answer in this paper is “How can an educator analyze the consequences of technological changes in their work?”.
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