基于深度学习的电动汽车到达和离开时间预测——以摩洛哥为例

M. Boulakhbar, Farag Markos, Kawtar Benabdelaziz, M. Zazi, M. Maaroufi, T. Kousksou
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引用次数: 2

摘要

插电式电动汽车(PEV)车主的充电方式对配电网的可靠性有很大影响。到达和离开日期的不确定性使得插电式混合动力汽车很难安排,特别是在受监管的(非自由的)电力市场。电动汽车到达和离开时间的监控已成为绿色智能微系统的重要组成部分之一。因此,预测电动汽车的到达和离开时间可能有助于有效地管理电网。考虑到摩洛哥电力系统的具体特点,本文的目的是预测公共充电站的电动汽车到达和离开时间,以便更好地向电网分配电力,并评估额外的电动汽车对电网的预期影响。因此,在本研究中应用了三种深度学习方法,并使用由摩洛哥公共充电站收集的1793个充电事件组成的数据集验证了该方法。获得的结果将作为电力监管机构(ONEE)和公用事业公司选择和实施高效智能充电策略的决策工具,包括电动汽车(ev)更有效地使用可再生能源的潜力,降低成本,同时改善摩洛哥电网的稳定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electric Vehicles Arrival and Departure Time Prediction Based on Deep Learning: The Case of Morocco
The charging patterns of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) owners have a substantial impact on the distribution network's reliability. Uncertainty over arrival and departure dates makes scheduling plug-in hybrid electric cars difficult, particularly in regulated (non-liberal) electricity markets. Monitoring the arrival and departure periods of electric vehicles (EVs) in general has become one of the most essential parts in green and intelligent micro-systems; hence, anticipating the arrival and departure times of PEVs may assist manage the grid effectively. The purpose of this paper is to predict the arrival and departure times of electric vehicles in public charging station in to better distribute electric power on the grid as well as assess the expected impact of additional EVs on the grid, considering specific characteristics of the Moroccan power system. Consequently, three deep learning methods are applied in this research and the approach is validated using a dataset consisting of 1793 charging events collected from public charging stations in Morocco. Obtained results will serve as a decision-making tool for electricity regulatory authorities (ONEE) and public utility companies in the selection and implementation of efficient smart charging strategies, including the potential for electric vehicles (EVs) to use renewable energy more efficiently, lowering costs while improving the Moroccan electricity grid's stability.
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