出口、进口和投资对印尼经济增长的影响(vecm分析法)

H. Juliansyah, Yudha Ganesha, I. Ichsan, Fanny Nailufar, Sari Yulis Terfiadi
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究旨在了解出口、进口和投资对印尼经济增长的影响。本研究采用了从世界银行获得的1967-2020年期间的二手数据。采用矢量误差校正法(VECM)对数据进行分析。本研究采用的检验为单位根检验、滞后长度标准检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和VAR稳定性检验。研究结果表明,印尼出口和进口对印尼经济增长的短期和长期影响均为正的,但不显著。投资对印尼经济增长的短期和长期影响均为负且不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EFFECT OF EXPORT IMPORT AND INVESTMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA (VECM ANALYSIS METHOD)
This study aims to know the effect of export, import and investment on economic growth in Indonesia. This study employis secondary data in the period 1967-2020 obrained from the World Bank. The data is analyzed by using Vector Error Correction Method (VECM). All tests used in this study are unit root test, lag length criterion test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and VAR stability test. The results showed that the export and import of Indonesia have a positive and insignificant effect on Indonesia economic growth both in short run and long run. Investment has a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth both in short run and long run in Indonesia.
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