经济危机和全球化是养老金私有化的驱动因素:实证分析

Markus Leibrecht, Joelle H. Fong
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引用次数: 2

摘要

养恤金制度是核心的制度安排,预计将在连续几代人中保持稳定和可靠。然而,在过去的几十年里,随着一些国家选择了养老金制度的私有化,养老金提供方面的改革得到了加强。我们询问哪些因素导致政府将养老金制度私有化,并关注经济危机和全球压力增加的不同方面。我们对近100个经济体的横截面进行了持续时间分析,其中28个经济体在1981年至2012年间实现了养老金制度私有化。与危机引发改革假说一致,我们发现严重的经济危机加速了改革的实施。同样,经济和政治全球化的高增长也有利于养老金私有化。这些发现对于经验方法中的各种变化都是可靠的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Crises and Globalisation as Drivers of Pension Privatisation: An Empirical Analysis
Pension systems are core institutional arrangements that are expected to be stable and reliable over consecutive generations. Nevertheless, reforms in pension provision intensified over the past decades, with several countries opting for privatisation of their pension system. We ask which factors lead governments to privatise pension systems and focus on economic crises and different facets of increased global pressures. We conduct duration analyses on a cross-section of nearly 100 economies among which 28 privatise their pension system between 1981 and 2012. Consistent with the crisis-begets-reform hypothesis, we find that severe economic crises speed up reform implementation. Likewise, high growth in economic and political globalisation is conducive for pension privatisation. These findings are robust to a variety of alternations in the empirical methodology.
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