评估摩托车驾驶对马尼拉大都会道路事故率的增加

R. A. C. Robielos, Jan Michael V. De Guzman, Mary Grace C. Malapitan, Diana Ross A. Tan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在过去的10年里,菲律宾的摩托车事故持续增加。然而,对其原因进行评估的研究很少。在本研究中,确定了可能导致摩托车事故的几个因素。通过logistic回归分析,发现驾驶员行为、交通运动、车辆机动、天气和路面状况对事故的发生有显著影响。此外,方差分析用于确定子因素是否具有显著差异,并使用事后分析来区分这些子因素之间的差异。最后,对交通事故率最高的联邦大道实施车道共享方案前后的交通事故数量进行了比较。事实证明,在减少道路交通意外数目方面,推行共用车道计划实际上并没有产生显著的影响。更能说明问题的是,实施后联邦大道摩托车事故的增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of motorcycle driving on the increasing rate of road accidents in Metro Manila
There is a continuous increase of motorcycle accidents in the Philippines in the last 10 years. However, there were only few studies conducted that assessed its causes. In this study, several factors that may have contributed to motorcycle accidents are identified. Using logistic regression, it was found out that driver's behavior, traffic movement, vehicle maneuver, weather and surface condition have contributed significantly to the occurrence of accidents. Moreover, analysis of variance is used to determine whether the sub-factors have significant differences and Post Hoc analysis is used to distinguish which among these sub-factors differ from each other. Finally, a comparison is done on the number of accidents before and after the implementation of the lane sharing scheme along Commonwealth Avenue, a highway with the highest rate of accidents in the metropolis. It was validated that the implementation of lane sharing scheme had not actually made a significant impact in terms of reducing the number of road accidents. What is more revealing is the increase of motorcycle accidents in the Commonwealth Avenue after the implementation.
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