{"title":"应用于美国数据的一系列死亡率跳跃模型","authors":"Hua Chen","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1911688","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Mortality models are fundamental to quantify mortality/longevity risks and provide the basis of pricing and reserving. In this article, we consider a family of mortality jump models and propose a new generalized Lee–Carter model with asymmetric double exponential jumps. It is asymmetric in terms of both time periods of impact and frequency/severity profiles between adverse mortality jumps and longevity jumps. It is mathematically tractable and economically intuitive. It degenerates to a transitory exponential jump model when fitting the US mortality data and is the best fit compared with other jump models.","PeriodicalId":151802,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Life Cycle Models (Topic)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Family of Mortality Jump Models Applied to U.S. Data\",\"authors\":\"Hua Chen\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1911688\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Mortality models are fundamental to quantify mortality/longevity risks and provide the basis of pricing and reserving. In this article, we consider a family of mortality jump models and propose a new generalized Lee–Carter model with asymmetric double exponential jumps. It is asymmetric in terms of both time periods of impact and frequency/severity profiles between adverse mortality jumps and longevity jumps. It is mathematically tractable and economically intuitive. It degenerates to a transitory exponential jump model when fitting the US mortality data and is the best fit compared with other jump models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":151802,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Life Cycle Models (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"34 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2013-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Life Cycle Models (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1911688\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Life Cycle Models (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1911688","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Family of Mortality Jump Models Applied to U.S. Data
Mortality models are fundamental to quantify mortality/longevity risks and provide the basis of pricing and reserving. In this article, we consider a family of mortality jump models and propose a new generalized Lee–Carter model with asymmetric double exponential jumps. It is asymmetric in terms of both time periods of impact and frequency/severity profiles between adverse mortality jumps and longevity jumps. It is mathematically tractable and economically intuitive. It degenerates to a transitory exponential jump model when fitting the US mortality data and is the best fit compared with other jump models.