属性描述的信息价值:一种机器学习方法

Lily Shen, Stephen Ross
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引用次数: 20

摘要

摘要本文利用机器学习来量化房地产属性描述中包含的“软”信息的价值。文本描述包含传统享乐属性无法捕获的信息。基于这一“软”信息的房产独特性每增加一个标准差,享乐价格模型中的房产销售价格就会增加15%,重复销售价格模型中的房产销售价格就会增加10%。享乐模型的影响似乎通过两个渠道产生:住房单元的未被观察到的质量,以及住房单元相对于竞争物业的市场力量。重复销售模式的效果似乎完全是由该单位的市场力量驱动的。此外,年度享乐价格指数忽略了我们对未观察到的质量的衡量,将房地产价格高估了10%至23%,并错误地预测了大衰退后房价企稳的时间。重复销售价格指数也有类似的影响,但影响较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Information Value of Property Description: A Machine Learning Approach
Abstract This paper employs machine learning to quantify the value of “soft” information contained in real estate property descriptions. Textual descriptions contain information that traditional hedonic attributes cannot capture. A one standard deviation increase in the uniqueness of a property based on this “soft” information leads to a 15% increase in property sale price in a hedonic price model and a 10% increase in a repeat sales price model. The effects in the hedonic model appear to arise through two channels: the unobserved quality of the housing unit, and the market power of the housing unit relative to competing properties. The effects in the repeat sales model appear to be driven entirely by the market power of the unit. Further, an annual hedonic price index ignoring our measure of unobserved quality overstates real estate prices by between 10% to 23% and mistimes the stabilization of housing prices following the Great Recession. Similar, but smaller effects, are observed for the repeat sales price index.
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