1931-2020年克鲁比尼察河流域长期水平衡变化评价

D. Halmová, P. Pekárová, J. Podolinská, Katarína Jeneiová
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引用次数: 5

摘要

研究的重点是评价克鲁比尼察河流域到Plášťovce站整个90年的水文平衡变化,以及1931-1960年、1961-1990年和1991-2020年三个30年时间段的水文平衡变化。在研究的第一部分,水文平衡是在克鲁宾尼察月平均流量测量序列的基础上按年处理的:Plášťovce;Krupinica流域的月降水量和流域的月平均气温。第二部分对月步的水文平衡进行了处理。分析了三个时间段内流域水资源的变化情况。克鲁比尼察河流域长期年降水总量为660 mm,年径流深度为182 mm,平衡蒸发量为478 mm。对比30年期间,克鲁宾尼察的径流量显著减少,从231毫米减少到144毫米。这在径流系数上表现得更为明显,在1991-2020年期间,径流系数从0.32 / 0.27下降到0.21。在第三部分中,推导了径流、降水和气温之间的简单回归关系,以估计流域年径流的未来发展。关系表明,克鲁比尼察河流域降水每减少100 mm,径流量平均减少52 mm。克鲁比尼察河流域年平均气温每升高1℃,径流量减少约33.5 mm。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The assessment of changes in the long-term water balance in the Krupinica River basin for the period 1931–2020
The study is focused on the evaluation of changes in the hydrological balance of the Krupinica River basin to the Plášťovce station for the entire 90-year period as well as for the three 30-year subperiods 1931–1960, 1961–1990 and 1991–2020. In the first part of the study, the hydrological balance is processed in an annual step on the basis of measured series of average monthly flows from the Krupinica: Plášťovce; monthly precipitation totals on the Krupinica catchment area and average monthly temperatures in the catchment area. The hydrological balance in the monthly step was processed in the second part. Changes in water resources in the river basin over the three mentioned time subperiods were analyzed. The long-term annual precipitation total in the Krupinica River basin for the whole period was 660 mm, the annual runoff depth was 182 mm and the balance evaporation was 478 mm. A comparison of 30-year periods shows a significant decrease in the runoff of Krupinica – from 231 mm to 144 mm. This was even more pronounced in the runoff coefficient – it fell from 0.32 over 0.27 to 0.21 in the last period 1991–2020. In the third part, a simple regression relationship between runoff, precipitation and air temperature was derived to estimate the future development of the annual runoff from the basin. The relationship shows that a 100 mm decrease in precipitation in the Krupinica River basin will cause an average decrease of 52 mm in runoff. And an increase in the average annual temperature by 1°C in the Krupinica River basin results in a decrease in runoff of about 33.5 mm.
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