西方国家的制裁政策对俄罗斯地区社会经济发展的影响

V. Pechatkin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究西方制裁对俄罗斯各地区社会经济发展的影响,作为作出管理决定以确保俄罗斯联邦在短期和中期的可持续运作和发展的资料基础,具有重要意义。考虑到巴什科尔托斯坦共和国以石油生产、炼油工业和石油化学为主的经济结构,西方国家为发展巴什科尔托斯坦共和国经济的工业部门而实施的最敏感的制裁得到了强调。对西方国家制裁政策对俄罗斯联邦各地区2022年上半年社会经济发展水平的影响进行评级评估的方法方法,包括一套经济、社会、金融和人口发展指标系统,已经得到了发展和试验。使用拟议的方法可以确定能够适应制裁的地区,并利用它们来提高社会经济发展水平,以便在俄罗斯其他地区复制其积极经验,并确定受制裁影响最大的地区,以制定国家支持措施。根据俄罗斯各地区对西方国家制裁的敏感性对其进行了类型学划分,并对受制裁影响最大和最小的地区进行了分配。巴什科尔托斯坦共和国对西方制裁的敏感性评级已经确定,这突显出,在世界上对俄罗斯“不友好”的国家为回应乌克兰的特别军事行动而发动经济战的情况下,他们在中期可能面临的关键问题。提出了一套措施,目的是消除西方国家制裁政策的消极影响,并利用在进口替代、支持高技术出口、减少对进口设备和部件的依赖以及促进创新发展等领域发展巴什科尔托斯坦共和国经济工业部门的更多机会。该研究结果在第十四届国际科学和实践会议上报告:“管理俄罗斯地区社会经济发展的创新技术”,2022年10月20日至21日,乌法ISEI UFIC RAS。这篇文章可能对研究西方国家制裁政策对俄罗斯地区社会经济发展影响的研究人员以及负责在反制裁政策领域做出管理决策的领土管理机构感兴趣。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE IMPACT OF THE SANCTIONS POLICY OF WESTERN COUNTRIES ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIAN REGIONS
The relevance of the study of the impact of Western sanctions on the socio-economic development of Russian regions as an information basis for making managerial decisions to ensure the sustainable functioning and development of the Russian Federation in the short and medium term is substantiated. The most sensitive sanctions of Western countries for the development of the industrial sector of the economy of the Republic of Bashkortostan are highlighted, taking into account the structure of the economy of the republic with a predominance of oil production, oil refining industry and petrochemistry. A methodological approach to the rating assessment of the impact of the sanctions policy of Western countries on the level of socio-economic development of the regions of the Russian Federation for the 1st half of 2022, including a system of indicators of economic, social, financial and demographic development, has been developed and tested. The use of the proposed approach makes it possible to identify regions that have been able to adapt to the sanctions and use them to increase the level of socio-economic development in order to replicate their positive experience in other regions of Russia, as well as to identify the regions most affected by the sanctions to develop measures for their state support. The typologization of the regions of Russia according to their sensitivity to the sanctions of Western countries has been carried out, with the allocation of the most and least affected regions of the country by sanctions. The rating positions of the Republic of Bashkortostan on sensitivity to Western sanctions have been determined, highlighting the key problems that they may face in the medium term in the conditions of economic war carried out by countries of the world "unfriendly" to Russia in response to a special military operation in Ukraine. A set of measures is proposed aimed at smoothing the negative effects of the sanctions policy of Western countries, as well as the use of additional opportunities in terms of the development of the industrial sector of the economy of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the areas of import substitution, support for high-tech exports, reducing dependence on imported equipment and components, and promoting innovative development. The results of the study were reported at the XIV International scientific and practical conference: "Innovative technologies for managing the socio-economic development of the regions of Russia", October 20-21, 2022, ISEI UFIC RAS, Ufa. The article may be of interest to researchers dealing with the impact of the sanctions policy of Western countries on the socio-economic development of Russian regions, and territorial administration bodies responsible for making managerial decisions in the field of anti-sanctions policy.
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