来自中小制造企业能源投资决策产业评估项目的证据

M. Woodruff, T. Jones, J. Dowd, J. Roop, M. Muller
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文重点介绍了参与美国能源部工业评估中心(IAC)项目的中小型制造工厂的能效措施投资决策的详细分析结果。这篇论文是从一个更大的研究中得出的,该研究发现,参与IAC计划的大多数中小型工厂只有在投资的资本成本可以在两年内以运营节省的方式偿还的情况下,才会投资于能效措施。最常推荐和实施的措施的回收期为一年或更短。执行率似乎只是随着投资回收期的增加而略有下降。此外,与实施措施相关的平均投资回收期似乎不会随着工厂规模或年能源成本而增加。在决定一项建议的措施是否将得到实施时,第一成本似乎比投资回收期更为重要。对于大多数推荐的能源效率措施,长达两年的回收期意味着大约50%的隐含(实际)贴现率,这比能源经济模型中通常用于表征工业投资决策的值要高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evidence from the industrial assessment program on energy investment decisions by small and medium-sized manufacturers
This paper highlights the results of a detailed analysis of investment decisions regarding energy efficiency measures at small and medium-sized manufacturing plants participating in the US Department of Energy's Industrial Assessment Center (IAC) program. This paper is drawn from a larger study that found that most small and medium-sized plants participating in the IAC program will invest in an energy efficiency measure only if the investment's capital cost can be paid back in operational savings within two years. The most frequently recommended and implemented measures have payback periods of one year or less. Implementation rates appear to drop off only slightly with increasing payback periods. Moreover, the average payback period associated with implemented measures does not appear to increase with plant size or annual energy cost. First cost appears to be more important than payback period in determining whether a recommended measure will be implemented. For most recommended energy efficiency measures, a payback period of up to two years implies an implicit (real) discount rate of about 50 percent, which is higher than the values typically used to characterize industrial investment decisions in energy-economic models.
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