Comparative Analysis of Carbon Emissions in Tianjin Based on LMDI Method and STIRPAT Model

This paper compares and analyzes the influencing factors of carbon emissions by sorting out changes in Tianjin's carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019 based on the LMDI method and the STIRPAT model, and predicts and analyzes the carbon peak and carbon neutrality situation in Tianjin under three scenarios. Under the baseline scenario, it was difficult for Tianjin to achieve a carbon peak in 2025 and carbon neutrality before 2060. In a low-carbon scenario and an ultra-low carbon scenario, Tianjin could achieve a carbon peak before 2025. The timely implementation of the carbon sink project would help Tianjin to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060.