科伦坡证券交易所上市公司股票分拆公告对股价的影响

W. D. Soyza, K. Kodithuwakku, S. Samarakoon
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摘要

股票分割是一种直接影响公司股票数量并间接影响股票价格的公司事件。本研究根据有效市场假说,检验了科伦坡证券交易所股票分割公告前后股票分割对上市公司股价的影响。本文的主要目的是确定股票分拆公告对股价的整体影响。本研究以科伦坡证券交易所上市公司为研究对象,分析了2009年至2019年十(10)年间的88次年度股票拆分。本文采用事件研究的方法对科伦坡证券交易所的市场效率进行检验,并借助于基于每日收盘价和全股价指数计算的异常收益来运行市场模型。对于分析结果,采用了图形分析和t统计。从事件日平均异常收益来看,大多数股票拆分是负的多于正的,且t值在5%处显著,这表明投资者在股票拆分公告发布后不久就将其视为坏消息。平均异常收益显著的每一天,正收益多于负收益。图表结果显示,平均异常收益和累积平均异常收益分别在18天和25天内持续为负,这表明股票拆分对股票收益产生了有害影响。本研究最终得出结论:股票分拆的信息没有被市场有效吸收,因为市场在分拆公告日期前后的反应在5%显著,尽管平均异常收益对该公告的反应很快。此外,由于注意到活动前后的重大股票价格调整,结果并未为科伦坡证券交易所的半强形式效率提供证据。通过本研究,决策者和投资者确信,在做出决策时,所有的信息并没有被纳入股票价格。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Price Reaction to the Stock Splits Announcement of Listed Companies in the Colombo Stock Exchange
A stock split is a corporate event that directly impacts the number of a company’s shares and indirectly on stock prices. This study tests the effect of the stock splits on the share price of companies listed in the Colombo Stock Exchange during the periods of pre and post stock split announcement in accordance with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. The main objective of this paper is to identify the overall impact of a stock split announcement on stock prices. This study analyses 88 annual stock splits during the ten (10) year period from 2009 to 2019 by taking the listed companies in the Colombo Stock Exchange into consideration. It uses the event study methodology to test the market efficiency of the Colombo Stock Exchange, and the market model is run with the aid of abnormal returns, which are calculated based on daily closing stock prices and the All-Share Price Index. For analysing the results, the graphical analysis and t statistics have been utilized. According to the event day average abnormal return, the majority of stock splits were more negative than positive with a significant t value at 5% by indicating that investors were taking the stock split announcement as bad news just after the split announcement was released. Each day with a significant Average Abnormal Return shows more positives than negatives. Graphical results have shown both Average Abnormal Return, and Cumulative Average Abnormal Return has remained continuously negative up to 18 and 25 days, respectively, by implicating that stock splits have made a deleterious impact on stock return. This study finally concludes that the information regarding the stock splits has not been absorbed efficiently by the market because the market reactions before and after the date of the split announcement were significant at 5%, although the Average Abnormal Return got a quick reaction to the announcement. Furthermore, results had not provided evidence for Semi-Strong Form efficiency of the Colombo Stock Exchange since the significant stock price adjustments before and after the event day was noticed. By this study, the policymakers and investors are convinced that all information has not been incorporated into stock prices in making their decisions.
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