区域一体化:经济转型的工具

Professor Kelly Kingsly
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引用次数: 0

摘要

《阿布贾条约》(1991年)建议通过五个地理区域建立非洲经济共同体。为了精简这些地区现有的多个集团,非洲联盟在其合理化进程中确定了8个区域经济共同体(RECs)。一体化愿景力求实现集体自治,并通过扩大非洲市场和增加非洲与世界之间的贸易,为提高人民的生活水平作出贡献。根据世行集团《中期战略(2008-2012年)》和《区域一体化战略(2009-2012年)》,将为中部地区编写一份《区域一体化战略文件》(RISP)。因此,目前的RISP涉及中非,包括十个中非经共体国家:安哥拉、布隆迪、喀麦隆、中非共和国(CAR)、刚果、刚果民主共和国(DRC)、加蓬、赤道几内亚(REG)、圣多美和普林西比和乍得。中非的主要特点是刚果盆地(CB),它是世界第二大森林和水资源储备的所在地,是地球的肺之一;还有相当大但尚未开发的矿产和农业潜力。这是非洲大陆一体化程度最低的地区。在经济上,中非在过去十年中表现相对较好,1999-2009年期间的平均增长率约为6.2%,六个产油国(安哥拉、喀麦隆、刚果、加蓬、赤道几内亚和乍得)的平均增长率为7.3%,其他国家的平均增长率为4.7%。该地区的经济增长高于非洲平均水平(4.8%),其主要特点是原油和矿产品的出口增加,从而为非石油活动提供资金。因此,该区域的经济仍然容易受到外部冲击,这主要是因为它严重依赖石油生产。从政治角度来看,本着非洲联盟的精神实现国家间的相互理解与和谐是中非区域一体化面临的最大挑战。此外,该地区由脆弱国家、内陆国家、森林国家和人口稀少的中等收入国家组成。这种设置突出了中非区域一体化进程的相关性。与大陆其他地区相比,基础设施薄弱也是该地区面临的挑战之一。具体地说,中非各国之间国家运输网络的相互联系不足是该区域各国经济和物质一体化以及发展的障碍。同样,电力和水的供应困难阻碍了有活力和有竞争力的私营部门的出现。相反,该地区具有与非洲大陆其他地区不同的优势。中非的枢纽和战略地位使其成为非洲大陆各地区之间潜在的首选过境区。该地区蕴藏着巨大的高价值石油、矿产和采矿资源。最近,该地区已探明的石油储量估计为313亿桶,占该大陆总储量的28%。中非拥有巨大的农业、林业和水力发电潜力。气候条件和优质耕地的可用性有利于农业发展。最后,该地区拥有非洲大陆最大的水力发电潜力。实际上,巨大的水网密度占非洲水电潜力的60%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regional Integration as a Tool for Economic Transformation
The integration vision for an African Economic Community through five geographic regions was recommended by the Abuja Treaty (1991). To streamline the existing multiple blocs in these regions, the African Union identified eight Regional Economic Communities (RECs) in its rationalization drive. The integration vision seeks to attain collective autonomy and contribute to raising the living standards of the population through the expansion of African markets and increased trade between Africa and the world.

According to the Bank Group’s Medium Term Strategy (2008-2012) and Regional Integration Strategy (2009-2012), a Regional Integration Strategy Paper (RISP) will be prepared for the Centre region. Accordingly, the current RISP concerns Central Africa which comprises the ten ECCAS countries: Angola, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic (CAR), Congo, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Gabon, Equatorial Guinea (REG), Sao Tome and Principe (STP) and Chad. The Central Africa is mainly characterized by the Congo Basin (CB) which is home to the world’s second forest and water reserve - one of the lungs of the planet; and a considerable but largely untapped mineral and agricultural potential. This is the least integrated region of the continent. Economically, the Central Africa performed relatively well over the last ten years, with an average growth rate of about 6.2% during the 1999-2009 period, with 7.3% on average in the six oil-producing countries (Angola, Cameroon, Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea and Chad) and 4.7% in other countries. Economic growth in the region, which is above the African average (4.8%), was generally marked by higher exports of crude oil and mining products making it possible to finance non-oil activities. Accordingly, the region's economy remains vulnerable to external shocks, mainly on account of its heavy dependence on oil production. From the political standpoint, the attainment of mutual understanding and concord between nations, in the spirit of the African Union, is the biggest challenge to regional integration in Central Africa.

In addition, this region is made up of fragile states, landlocked countries, forested countries and sparsely populated MICs. This set-up highlights the relevance of the regional integration process in Central Africa. Weak basic infrastructure compared with the continents other regions is also one of the challenges of this region. Specifically, the inadequate interconnection of national transport networks between Central African countries is an obstacle to economic and physical integration and the development of countries in the region. Similarly, electricity and water supply difficulties impede the emergence of a dynamic and competitive private sector. Conversely, the region has advantages that distinguish it from the rest of the continent. Central Africa’s pivotal and strategic position makes it a potentially preferred transit zone between regions of the continent. The region abounds with huge highly valued oil, mineral and mining resources.

Recently, proven oil reserves in the region are estimated at 31.3 billion barrels, representing 28% of the continents total reserves. Central Africa has a huge agriculture, forestry and hydroelectric power potential. Climatic conditions and the availability of quality arable land favour agricultural development. Finally, the region has the continent largest hydro-electric potential. Actually, the immense water network density accounts for 60% of Africa’ hydropower potential.
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