“以前有过吗?”

J. Waller
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们知道,停止冲突并不能解决冲突的所有驱动因素。以北爱尔兰为例,指望20多年的“和平”——自始至终都是摇摇欲坠、犹豫不决——以某种方式完全抵消了之前30年不稳定的冲突(更不用说800年根深蒂固的身份分歧),这是太过分了。在目前这一时刻,虽然和平协定的许多要素得到了巩固,但和平似乎比以往任何时候都更加脆弱。本书的第二部分实时评估了当代北爱尔兰让来之不易的和平从指缝间溜走的程度。在当代潜在冲突的加速因素和触发因素的背景下,将这些风险和复原力的双重现实结合起来,将有助于我们理解一个社会在从冲突走向稳定、持久和可持续和平的过程中所面临的挑战和机遇。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
“Was There Ever a Before?”
We know the cessation of conflict is not the solution to all the drivers of that conflict. In the case of Northern Ireland, it is far too much to expect that slightly more than 20 years of “peace”—faltering and hesitant throughout—somehow has counteracted completely the prior 30 years of destabilizing conflict (let alone the 800 years of deep identity divisions). In this current moment, while many elements of the peace agreement have held fast, the peace seems more fragile than ever. Part II of this book offers a real-time assessment of the degree to which contemporary Northern Ireland is letting its hard-earned peace slip through its fingers. Engaging these coupled realities of risk and resilience in the context of contemporary accelerators and triggers of potential conflict will help us understand the challenges and opportunities a society faces in moving from conflict to a stable, enduring, and sustainable peace.
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