总统离开我的家乡后:中国国家领导人出访对地方政府绩效的影响

Hao Ren, Shaojie Zhou, Angang Hu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

国内访问是民主和专制政体中政治领导人最常见的例行工作之一。在本文中,我们认为,对于中央政府来说,除了民主国家的公共总统职位之外,这些国内访问是威权政权中规范地方政府绩效的最重要方式之一。基于2009年至2012年9名中共中央政治局常务委员会成员的国内访问和DRC对国家级居民的纵向调查,我们使用异差法估计了这些国内访问对地方政府绩效的影响。我们有三个主要发现。其次,在协变量平衡调整后,这种正效应对9名中央政治局常务委员会成员全部有效。最后,我们也发现这种积极效应只存在一年,这意味着当现任领导人失去权力时,这种效应就会消失,我们将这种现象定义为任邹茶凉效应。在实证研究的基础上,这些国家领导人的国内访问为我们认识中国中央地方关系提供了新的视角。作为嵌入的正式机构,我们认为中央政府可以利用他们的访问来获得政治稳定和经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
After the President Left My Town: Chinese State Leaders’ Domestic Visits Impact on Local Government Performance
Domestic visits (in Chinese 视察、考察、调研) are one of the commonest routine work for political leaders both in the democratic and authoritarian regimes. In this article, we argue that for central authorities, in addition to public presidency in democracy, those domestic visits are one of the most important way to regulate local government’s performance in authoritarian regimes. Based on 9 members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee domestic visits from 2009 to 2012 in China and a longitudinal survey of national level residents conducted by DRC(国务院发展研究中心), we estimate those domestic visits’ impact on local government performance by using difference in difference method. And we have three main findings. Firstly, we find that for Jintao Hu, the General Secretary, his domestic visits could significantly promote residents’ evaluation of local government administrative efficiency, and after taking selection bias into consideration, this positive effect is still robust. Secondly, after adjustment of covariates balance, this positive effect is valid for all 9 members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee. Finally, we also find this positive effect only exists for one year, which means when the present incumbent of leaders lose power, those effects will disappear,and we define this phenomenon as Ren Zou Cha Liang Effect(人走茶凉). On the basic of our empirical findings, those state leaders’ domestic visits provide us new vision to recognize Chinese central-local relation. Be regarded as embedded formal institution, we argue that central authorities could use their visits to access to political stability and economic development.
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